Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · APD · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Air Products raises outlook as capex falls and project risks reset

The quarter supports a constructive view of Air Products' earnings trajectory through resilient electronics demand, pricing and new-asset contributions. The case is tempered by helium headwinds, geopolitical exposure and the execution burden from project exits and asset redeployment.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $62.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.47 Consensus $3.34
EPS surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.16B Consensus $3.20B
Revenue surprise -1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.8% Up to 20 sessions
APDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management paired stronger operating performance with a higher full-year outlook, a lower capex plan and a new Yara renewable-ammonia agreement. The company also disclosed its exit from Louisiana and other clean-energy projects, shifting emphasis toward industrial-gas growth and capital discipline.

Guidance delta

Raised full-year earnings-growth guidance while lowering capital-spending guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Industrial-gas demand remains supported by electronics and new on-site assets.
  • The Yara agreement expands the renewable-ammonia value chain, but is not expected to affect FY27 results.
  • Exiting Louisiana and other clean-energy projects changes the capital-allocation profile while introducing asset-redeployment risk.

Management priorities

  • Build the industrial-gas backlog, particularly in electronics.
  • Execute the Yara renewable-ammonia marketing and distribution agreement.
  • Maintain capital discipline while supporting cash returns and future growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1947.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$279.46Previous close
$257Low
$322.55Average
$373High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $279.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchAlexandra Yates$329$297.71 +17.7%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$320$291.69 +14.5%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyVincent Andrews$320$292.52 +14.5%Aug 3, 2026
BernsteinJames Hooper$373$293.66 +33.5%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$350$300.2 +25.2%Jul 31, 2026
See 46 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) is a prominent supplier of industrial gases, specialized equipment, and associated services. The company's diverse product range includes atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, as well as various process gases like hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and syngas. They also provide a selection of specialty gases. APD is involved in the fabrication of crucial machinery for gas production and handling, including air separation units and non-cryogenic generators.…

Historical context

All APD earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T16:12:32.562433+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T05:30:50.761025+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T05:30:50.757451+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.