Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · APD · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2024

Air Products: Core Gases and Hydrogen Drive the Outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: core industrial-gas pricing and volume trends, together with clean-hydrogen projects, could support growth if execution, financing, permitting and China-demand risks remain manageable.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $66.71B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.56 Consensus $3.48
EPS surprise +2.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.31B Consensus $3.21B
Revenue surprise +65.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.3% Up to 20 sessions
APDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis points to stronger margins, the completed LNG technology-business sale, a clean-hydrogen project pipeline and a changed FY2025 guidance characterization. It also identifies project financing, permitting and China demand as active watchpoints.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis characterizes FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance as raised to $12.70-$13, while the summary describes the guidance as reaffirmed; the change is therefore presented with that qualification.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted core industrial gases and clean hydrogen as the two growth pillars.
  • The supplied analysis characterizes FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance as raised, while the summary calls it reaffirmed.
  • NEOM, Canada and Louisiana remain central to the clean-hydrogen plan.
  • Capital allocation is described as disciplined, with positive net cash flow targeted from 2027.

Management priorities

  • Advance NEOM, Canada Net-Zero Hydrogen and Louisiana projects.
  • Focus capital on core industrial-gas growth and high-return hydrogen projects.
  • Complete the President succession process while maintaining shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.69 Q2 '24 actual $2.85, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.03 Q3 '24 actual $3.20, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.48 Q4 '24 actual $3.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.99 Q3 '25 actual $3.09, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.38 Q4 '25 actual $3.39, match Q1 '26 estimate $3.04 Q1 '26 actual $3.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.06 Q2 '26 actual $3.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.34 Q3 '26 actual $3.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q1 '27 estimate $3.42 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1947.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$299.59Current
$257Low
$323.75Average
$373High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $299.59. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$346$295.63 +15.5%Oct 15, 2026
BarclaysAleksey Yefremov$353$283.87 +17.8%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$305$277.57 +1.8%Oct 5, 2026
Argus ResearchAlexandra Yates$329$297.71 +9.8%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$320$291.69 +6.8%Aug 3, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) is a prominent supplier of industrial gases, specialized equipment, and associated services. The company's diverse product range includes atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, as well as various process gases like hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and syngas. They also provide a selection of specialty gases. APD is involved in the fabrication of crucial machinery for gas production and handling, including air separation units and non-cryogenic generators.…

Historical context

All APD earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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AA Alcoa Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +20.5% +7.2% Alcoa: Strong Q3 execution, with safety and transaction risks ahead

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T21:10:41.830335+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T21:10:41.827454+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.