Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. · APD · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

Air Products Maintains Outlook as Pricing Offsets Lower Volume

The quarter supports a measured version of the growth thesis: pricing strength, productivity, and hydrogen investment provide support, but lower volume, one-time helium benefits, tariffs, and project execution risks temper the outlook.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $66.05B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.85
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.96B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.4% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.2% Up to 20 sessions
APDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the emphasis from the prior quarter's guidance and project progress to maintained guidance supported by pricing and productivity. It also highlights the completed LNG divestiture's lower-volume, better-mix effect, the Uzbekistan restart, and tariff exposure.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year 2025 guidance; Q2 adjusted EPS guidance was $2.75-$2.85.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 adjusted EPS of $2.86 exceeded the top end of guidance, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Margins expanded despite a 2% volume decline linked to the LNG divestiture.
  • Pricing, productivity, and a one-time helium sale supported the quarter.
  • Management highlighted Uzbekistan, major hydrogen projects, and a cash-flow-positive target for FY2027.

Management priorities

  • Execute pricing actions across the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
  • Restart the Uzbekistan facility in Q3 and pursue full run-rate thereafter.
  • Advance Louisiana blue hydrogen partnerships and other offtake arrangements.
  • Continue productivity programs and target net cash-flow positivity by FY2027.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
APD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.69 Q2 '24 actual $2.85, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.03 Q3 '24 actual $3.20, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.48 Q4 '24 actual $3.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.99 Q3 '25 actual $3.09, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.38 Q4 '25 actual $3.39, match Q1 '26 estimate $3.04 Q1 '26 actual $3.16, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.06 Q2 '26 actual $3.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.34 Q3 '26 actual $3.47, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q1 '27 estimate $3.42 Q2 '27 estimate $3.45
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1947.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$296.6Current
$257Low
$323.75Average
$373High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 9, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $296.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$346$295.63 +16.7%Oct 15, 2026
BarclaysAleksey Yefremov$353$283.87 +19.0%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$305$277.57 +2.8%Oct 5, 2026
Argus ResearchAlexandra Yates$329$297.71 +10.9%Sep 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$320$291.69 +7.9%Aug 3, 2026
See 49 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating globally, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (APD) is a prominent supplier of industrial gases, specialized equipment, and associated services. The company's diverse product range includes atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, and argon, as well as various process gases like hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and syngas. They also provide a selection of specialty gases. APD is involved in the fabrication of crucial machinery for gas production and handling, including air separation units and non-cryogenic generators.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T03:10:44.476656+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T03:10:44.473941+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.