Allegion plc · ALLE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Allegion: Non-residential growth offsets tariffs and soft housing

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: non-residential demand, electronic locks, new products and acquisitions are supporting growth, while tariffs and residential weakness could limit durability.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $12.58B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.68
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $920.3M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +10.3% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move +8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.5% Up to 20 sessions
ALLESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added emphasis on smart-lock launches and three bolt-on acquisitions, while management reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance despite tariff costs. The supplied analysis also indicates margin expansion and continued capital returns.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $7.65-$7.85 was reaffirmed despite tariff headwinds.

Key takeaways

  • Management described 5.4% revenue growth, mid-single-digit organic growth and 150 basis points of margin expansion.
  • Americas non-residential demand was the primary growth engine while residential remained soft.
  • New smart-lock launches, bolt-on acquisitions and capital returns remain part of the growth and allocation plan.

Management priorities

  • Expand non-residential and electronic security growth in the Americas.
  • Launch Schlage Sense Pro and Arrive smart locks in the U.S. later in 2025.
  • Pursue bolt-on acquisitions while maintaining dividend growth and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALLE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $888M Q1 '24 actual $894M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $954M Q2 '24 actual $966M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $940M Q3 '24 actual $967M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish834.8%
Neutral1565.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$147.91Current
$115Low
$148.33Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 10, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 11, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $147.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAlexander Virgo$180$151.36 +21.7%Sep 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$170$154.57 +14.9%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$142$129.03 -4.0%Jun 3, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$165$137.86 +11.6%Apr 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$161.84 +21.7%Jan 7, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Allegion plc engages in the provision of security products and solutions worldwide. It is operating through two segments: Allegion Americas and Allegion International. The company offers door controls, door control system, and exit devices; doors, glass and door systems, and accessories; electronic security products and access control systems, including time, attendance, and workforce productivity; and locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems. It also provides services and software, such as inspection, maintenance, and repair services for its automatic entrance solutions; software as a service, including access control, platform integration, and workforce management solutions; and ongoing aftermarket services, and design…

Historical context

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Industrials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T03:10:42.956741+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T03:10:42.953913+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.