Allegion plc · ALLE · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Allegion: Q3 growth, raised EPS outlook, and continued electronics focus

The analysis supports a constructive but conditional view of Allegion's operating trajectory: price, volume, acquisitions, institutional demand, and electronics adoption can support growth, while residential softness, specification visibility, inflation, and integration execution could limit durability.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $13.03B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.16 Consensus $1.98
EPS surprise +9.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $967.1M Consensus $939.9M
Revenue surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.7% Up to 20 sessions
ALLESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis adds the SOSS acquisition and Von Duprin 70 Series launch, while continuing to emphasize acquisitions, electronics, institutional demand, and disciplined capital deployment. Management again raised guidance, but analysts continued to focus on residential exposure, specification visibility, productivity, pricing, and electronics assumptions.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS guidance and affirmed its cash-flow target; the prior quarter had also included a guidance raise.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q3 growth as supported by price, volume, and recent acquisitions.
  • Electronics and replacement cycles remain important growth drivers through 2025.
  • The Von Duprin 70 Series launch and SOSS acquisition broaden the product portfolio.
  • Institutional demand and municipal funding were identified as supportive, while residential and mixed commercial trends remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Von Duprin 70 Series exit devices across multiple market segments.
  • Integrate SOSS Door Hardware and continue pursuing accretive acquisitions.
  • Invest in international specification capabilities and electronics.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation across capex, dividends, and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALLE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.45 Q1 '24 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.84 Q2 '24 actual $1.96, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.98 Q3 '24 actual $2.16, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.99 Q2 '25 actual $2.04, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.21 Q3 '25 actual $2.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.01 Q4 '25 actual $1.94, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.90 Q1 '26 actual $1.80, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.22 Q2 '26 actual $2.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.50 Q4 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '27 estimate $2.12 Q2 '27 estimate $2.54
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish834.8%
Neutral1565.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$153.17Previous close
$115Low
$148.33Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 10, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 24, 2026
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 11, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $153.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAlexander Virgo$180$151.36 +17.5%Sep 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$170$154.57 +11.0%Jul 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$142$129.03 -7.3%Jun 3, 2026
Robert W. BairdTimothy Wojs$165$137.86 +7.7%Apr 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$161.84 +17.5%Jan 7, 2026
See 11 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Allegion plc engages in the provision of security products and solutions worldwide. It is operating through two segments: Allegion Americas and Allegion International. The company offers door controls, door control system, and exit devices; doors, glass and door systems, and accessories; electronic security products and access control systems, including time, attendance, and workforce productivity; and locks, locksets, portable locks, and key systems. It also provides services and software, such as inspection, maintenance, and repair services for its automatic entrance solutions; software as a service, including access control, platform integration, and workforce management solutions; and ongoing aftermarket services, and design…

Historical context

All ALLE earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T08:50:44.317287+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T08:50:44.314530+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.