Albemarle Corporation · ALB · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Albemarle: Cost savings offset lithium-price pressure in Q3

Albemarle's Q3 analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating picture: cost productivity, stronger lithium-salt margins, and demand from EVs and grid storage offset lower lithium prices, but the outlook remains sensitive to pricing and supply conditions.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $12.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.19 Consensus $-0.86
EPS surprise +77.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.28B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +37.2% Up to 20 sessions
ALBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management's outlook improved: guidance moved higher, the cost-savings run rate increased to $450 million, and the company identified $660 million of expected pretax proceeds from Ketjen and Eurecat transactions. Capital spending was reduced to approximately $600 million.

Guidance delta

Management raised its full-year 2025 outlook toward the upper end of its $9/kg lithium-price scenario and projected $300–$400 million of free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% year over year despite lower lithium prices.
  • Cost-productivity efforts reached a $450 million run rate, while SG&A and R&D expenses fell 22%.
  • Ketjen and Eurecat transactions are expected to provide $660 million of pretax cash proceeds in 2026.

Management priorities

  • Continue cost-saving and productivity programs
  • Maintain disciplined capital spending around $600 million
  • Ramp CGP3 and La Negra resources and execute the Ketjen and Eurecat transactions

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.25 Q1 '24 actual $0.26, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.53 Q2 '24 actual $0.04, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-0.31 Q3 '24 actual $-1.55, miss Q2 '25 estimate $-0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.11, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.86 Q3 '25 actual $-0.19, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.42 Q4 '25 actual $-0.53, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.19 Q1 '26 actual $2.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.20 Q2 '26 actual $3.75, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.55 Q4 '26 estimate $3.17 Q1 '27 estimate $2.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2046.5%
Neutral1944.2%
Bearish49.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$105.03Current
$68Low
$196.17Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $105.03. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankBen Isaacson$190$131.11 +80.9%Aug 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyVincent Andrews$161$131.11 +53.3%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialPeter Osterland$225$128.49 +114.2%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$175$128.86 +66.6%Aug 7, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$166$118.83 +58.1%Jul 17, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Albemarle Corporation stands as a global innovator, producing and distributing a diverse portfolio of engineered specialty chemicals. Its business operations are divided into three principal segments: Lithium, Bromine, and Catalysts. The Lithium division supplies a variety of lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, hydroxide, and chloride, alongside critical reagents like butyllithium. These materials are vital for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries found in electric vehicles and consumer electronics, as well as for high-performance greases, thermoplastic elastomers used in tires and plastics, and as catalysts for chemical reactions, organic synthesis in areas like steroid chemistry, vitamins, and the pharmaceutical industry.…

Historical context

All ALB earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T22:36:03.593135+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T22:36:03.590245+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.