Albemarle Corporation · ALB · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Albemarle maintains outlook as cost savings offset lithium-price pressure

The call supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: cost savings, volume growth, and lower CapEx are improving cash-flow resilience, but lithium pricing and contract mix still constrain earnings visibility.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $12.33B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.11 Consensus $-0.83
EPS surprise +113.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.33B Consensus $1.27B
Revenue surprise +4.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +25.2% Up to 20 sessions
ALBSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Albemarle had reached the full $400 million cost-productivity target, lowered CapEx to $650–700 million, and shifted its outlook to expected positive free cash flow while maintaining guidance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2025 outlook while lowering CapEx to $650–700 million and expecting positive free cash flow.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales were $1.3 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $336 million, with lower lithium prices weighing on results.
  • The company reached the top end of its $400 million cost-productivity target six months ahead of schedule.
  • Energy-storage volumes were near the high end of the 0–10% growth range, while lithium pricing remained the key sensitivity.

Management priorities

  • Extend cost-productivity savings beyond the $400 million target.
  • Ramp the NEBO project and other mine-optimization projects to support volume growth.
  • Convert earnings into cash, repay $440 million of eurobonds in November, and pursue further deleveraging.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ALB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.25 Q1 '24 actual $0.26, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.53 Q2 '24 actual $0.04, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-0.31 Q3 '24 actual $-1.55, miss Q2 '25 estimate $-0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.11, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.86 Q3 '25 actual $-0.19, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.42 Q4 '25 actual $-0.53, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.19 Q1 '26 actual $2.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.20 Q2 '26 actual $3.75, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.55 Q4 '26 estimate $3.17 Q1 '27 estimate $2.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold43 ratings
Bullish2046.5%
Neutral1944.2%
Bearish49.3%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$104.92Current
$68Low
$197.95Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 25, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $104.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$130$105.78 +23.9%Oct 1, 2026
ScotiabankBen Isaacson$190$131.11 +81.1%Aug 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyVincent Andrews$161$131.11 +53.4%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialPeter Osterland$225$128.49 +114.4%Aug 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$175$128.86 +66.8%Aug 7, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Albemarle Corporation stands as a global innovator, producing and distributing a diverse portfolio of engineered specialty chemicals. Its business operations are divided into three principal segments: Lithium, Bromine, and Catalysts. The Lithium division supplies a variety of lithium compounds, including lithium carbonate, hydroxide, and chloride, alongside critical reagents like butyllithium. These materials are vital for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries found in electric vehicles and consumer electronics, as well as for high-performance greases, thermoplastic elastomers used in tires and plastics, and as catalysts for chemical reactions, organic synthesis in areas like steroid chemistry, vitamins, and the pharmaceutical industry.…

Historical context

All ALB earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T18:10:42.838715+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T18:10:42.835939+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.