Assurant, Inc. · AIZ · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Assurant raises outlook as Housing and Connected Living drive growth

The current-quarter analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: double-digit growth, stronger Housing results, subscriber additions and technology investments were accompanied by raised guidance. The main test is whether benefit-ratio trends, investment income and possible pull-forward effects remain manageable.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $13.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.56 Consensus $4.43
EPS surprise +25.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.16B Consensus $3.17B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +11.2% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +10.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.1% Up to 20 sessions
AIZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's tone remained confident but the guidance stance improved from maintained to raised. The current analysis adds acquisitions in Japan and Brazil, generative-AI deployment in Housing, stronger Housing EBITDA growth and a larger share-repurchase program.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year EPS growth guidance to approximately 10% and indicated mid-to-high single-digit EBITDA growth.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 13% year over year and EPS grew 17% year over year.
  • Global Housing EBITDA increased 25%, while Connected Living added 2.4 million protected devices.
  • Acquisitions in Japan and Brazil and AI investments broadened capabilities and supported efficiency.

Management priorities

  • Launch products and services in Connected Living and Housing during the second half of 2025.
  • Invest approximately $10 million in second-half strategic initiatives, including AI and robotics.
  • Expand U-Solutions and Gestauto while pursuing additional client programs and partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AIZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.87 Q1 '24 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.62 Q2 '24 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.52 Q3 '24 actual $3.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.43 Q2 '25 actual $5.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.39 Q3 '25 actual $5.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.55 Q4 '25 actual $5.61, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.29 Q1 '26 actual $5.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.17 Q2 '26 actual $6.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.57 Q4 '26 estimate $5.49 Q1 '27 estimate $5.95
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy19 ratings
Bullish1157.9%
Neutral736.8%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$267.32Current
$205Low
$292.45Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $267.32. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalCharlie Lederer$320$285.88 +19.7%Aug 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$320$280.07 +19.7%Aug 19, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$331$283.42 +23.8%Aug 13, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$329$295.66 +23.1%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMark Hughes$355$297.7 +32.8%Aug 6, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Assurant, Inc. operates globally, delivering essential lifestyle and housing solutions designed to secure, assist, and connect consumer acquisitions across diverse markets including North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. The Global Lifestyle segment provides comprehensive mobile device support, extended warranty and maintenance programs for mobile devices, consumer electronics, and appliances, as well as vehicle protection plans and associated services, alongside credit…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T07:06:07.382540+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T07:06:07.379181+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.