Assurant, Inc. · AIZ · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Assurant: Strong 2024, but 2025 outlook stays measured

Assurant entered 2025 with strong 2024 profitability and operating momentum, but the supplied analysis supports a measured rather than unequivocally bullish view: growth initiatives and partnerships are constructive, while maintained guidance and identifiable insurance, FX, tariff, and investment risks limit confidence.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $13.97B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.51
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.08B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.6% Up to 20 sessions
AIZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the emphasis from the prior quarter’s raised guidance and confident growth framing to a maintained outlook. New emphasis includes T-Mobile Protection 360 HomeTech, major carrier renewals, a 2025 reinsurance program, and continued AI and automation investment.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management described a modestly positive 2025 outlook while noting FX and investment constraints.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 15% adjusted EBITDA growth and EPS above $20 for 2024.
  • Global Housing and Connected Living were the main reported growth pillars.
  • Carrier renewals, T-Mobile HomeTech, and automation support the operating plan.
  • FX, catastrophe exposure, tariffs, and auto claims costs temper the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Scale Connected Living partnerships and products.
  • Invest $20-$30 million in client programs and technology in 2025.
  • Activate the April 1 catastrophe reinsurance program.
  • Continue capital returns and expand automation across device care and claims.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AIZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.87 Q1 '24 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.62 Q2 '24 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.52 Q3 '24 actual $3.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.43 Q2 '25 actual $5.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.39 Q3 '25 actual $5.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.55 Q4 '25 actual $5.61, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.29 Q1 '26 actual $5.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.17 Q2 '26 actual $6.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.75 Q4 '26 estimate $5.49 Q1 '27 estimate $5.95
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy19 ratings
Bullish1157.9%
Neutral736.8%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$283.31Current
$205Low
$292.45Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 14 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $283.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalCharlie Lederer$320$285.88 +13.0%Aug 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$320$280.07 +13.0%Aug 19, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$331$283.42 +16.8%Aug 13, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$329$295.66 +16.1%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMark Hughes$355$297.7 +25.3%Aug 6, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Assurant, Inc. operates globally, delivering essential lifestyle and housing solutions designed to secure, assist, and connect consumer acquisitions across diverse markets including North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. The Global Lifestyle segment provides comprehensive mobile device support, extended warranty and maintenance programs for mobile devices, consumer electronics, and appliances, as well as vehicle protection plans and associated services, alongside credit…

Historical context

All AIZ earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-28T00:00:20.742579+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T07:10:42.698276+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T07:10:42.695462+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.