Aegon Ltd. · AEG · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Aegon FY25 Q4: Operating results up 15%, capital generation ahead of target
Aegon's FY2025 Q4 call reinforces a US-centered growth story: operating results rose 15% YoY, operating capital generation of EUR 1.3 billion beat target, and management kept guidance intact while raising the dividend 14% and repurchasing shares. The bull case rests on World Financial Group agent expansion, CLO warehouse growth, and a planned US relocation under US GAAP. The stock nonetheless fell about 5.6% on report day and trades near 8.89, above the consensus price target of 7.50, so valuation and capital-return durability are the swing factors.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Aegon reported FY2025 Q4 before the open on Feb 19, 2026. Operating results rose 15% YoY with operating capital generation of EUR 1.3 billion ahead of target; reported EPS of 0.27 came in about 44% below the ~0.48 estimate, while reported revenue of roughly EUR 22.3 billion ran well above the ~EUR 7.5 billion expectation (differing revenue scopes). Management raised the dividend 14%, kept guidance maintained, and began a EUR 400 million 2026 buyback. Shares fell about 5.6% in a down tape, with the post-report drift also roughly -5.6%.
Guidance delta
Guidance sentiment was maintained. Management targets roughly 5% annual growth in operating result through 2026-27 and launched a EUR 400 million share-buyback program for 2026, on top of a 14% dividend increase.
Key takeaways
- Operating results grew 15% YoY, with operating capital generation of EUR 1.3 billion ahead of target
- Dividend raised 14% and buybacks continued with a new EUR 400 million program for 2026
- US strategic assets, especially World Financial Group, drove growth with productivity gains and agent expansion
- CLO warehouse capacity expanded to support higher-margin third-party asset-management business
- UK platform under strategic review and legal settlements disclosed at roughly $230 million
Management priorities
- Complete relocation to the United States and early/full US GAAP implementation
- Grow WFG licensed agents to roughly 110,000 by 2027
- Continue expanding CLO warehouse capacity in the US and Europe
- Maintain strong capital-return program across dividends and buybacks
- Finalize the strategic review and potential sale of the UK platform
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | May 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | May 7, 2025 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 24, 2021 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Apr 20, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Jan 17, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 15, 2018 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 14, 2018 |
| ING | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 1, 2016 |
| Ingalls & Snyder, LLC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 30, 2016 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Equal Weight | Downgrade | Jun 29, 2016 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Jun 28, 2016 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 10, 2015 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 24, 2015 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 20, 2015 |
| ABN Amro | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 26, 2015 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 19, 2013 |
| Mediobanca Securities | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 8, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFRA | Jeff Lye | $7.5 | $6.82 | -15.6% | May 16, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationAegon Ltd. functions as a leading financial services provider, offering a comprehensive suite of insurance, retirement planning, and asset management solutions across its operational regions in the Americas, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. The company's diverse product range includes life, accident, and health insurance, alongside property and casualty coverage. It also facilitates wealth growth and retirement security through savings vehicles, pensions, annuities, mutual funds, individual retirement accounts, voluntary employee benefits, and stable value programs. Beyond these, Aegon deals in various financial instruments such as debt and mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, reinsurance assets, and short-term investments, while also delivering services like credit risk management, disability assistance, and innovative digital banking platforms. Established in 1983 as Aegon N.V., the firm's main offices are located in The Hague, Netherlands.
Historical context
All AEG earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUK Prudential plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -40.9% | -0.5% | Prudential sustains growth and capital returns focus in H1 2026 |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.9% | -2.8% | CIBC Q3: Broad growth, resilient credit and expanded AI rollout |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | +1.4% | TD emphasizes growth investments alongside disciplined capital management |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.2% | -1.3% | RBC reports record Q3 earnings while investing for growth |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1230.3% | +0.3% | Affirm's most profitable quarter shifts focus to product execution |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- SNXFY2026 Q3 · September 24, 2026+20.9% EPS-9.9% move
- DRIFY2027 Q1 · September 24, 20260.0% EPS-3.0% move
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
- AZOFY2026 Q4 · September 22, 2026+3.6% EPS+3.3% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-26T01:11:07.798694+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-26T01:11:07.795798+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.