Aegon Ltd. · AEG · FY2024 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2024
Aegon keeps 2024 capital target on track despite Q1 decline
The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view: Aegon's U.S. and Brazil growth drivers and shareholder-return plans remain intact, but weaker international results, market-sensitive earnings and regulatory and distribution risks temper the outlook.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis described a 12% year-over-year decline in Q1 operating capital generation, while maintaining the 2024 target. It also identified a nearly completed EUR1.5 billion buyback, a new EUR200 million program, a planned CFO transition and weaker China and Spain performance.
Guidance delta
Maintained: management said operating capital generation remained on track for the EUR1.1 billion 2024 target.
Key takeaways
- Q1 operating capital generation was described as down 12% year over year but on track for the 2024 target.
- WFG distribution, index universal life, registered index-linked annuities and mid-size retirement plans were identified as growth drivers.
- Brazil and the United States were stronger areas, while China and Spain were weaker.
Management priorities
- Expand WFG agent scale and productivity.
- Complete the existing buyback and execute the announced EUR200 million program.
- Maintain the dividend-growth trajectory and evaluate focused strategic M&A.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | May 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | May 7, 2025 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Nov 24, 2021 |
| Societe Generale | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Apr 20, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Jan 17, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 15, 2018 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 14, 2018 |
| ING | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 1, 2016 |
| Ingalls & Snyder, LLC | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 30, 2016 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Equal Weight | Downgrade | Jun 29, 2016 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Jun 28, 2016 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 10, 2015 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 24, 2015 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 20, 2015 |
| ABN Amro | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 26, 2015 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 19, 2013 |
| Mediobanca Securities | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 8, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $8.1. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFRA | Jeff Lye | $7.5 | $6.82 | -7.4% | May 16, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationAegon Ltd. functions as a leading financial services provider, offering a comprehensive suite of insurance, retirement planning, and asset management solutions across its operational regions in the Americas, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. The company's diverse product range includes life, accident, and health insurance, alongside property and casualty coverage. It also facilitates wealth growth and retirement security through savings vehicles, pensions, annuities, mutual funds, individual retirement accounts, voluntary employee benefits, and stable value programs. Beyond these, Aegon deals in various financial instruments such as debt and mortgage-backed securities, derivatives, reinsurance assets, and short-term investments, while also delivering services like credit risk management, disability assistance, and innovative digital banking platforms. Established in 1983 as Aegon N.V., the firm's main offices are located in The Hague, Netherlands.
Historical context
All AEG earningsFinancial Services peers this season
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Missed on EPS
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T23:00:42.846777+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T23:00:42.843851+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.