Airbnb, Inc. · ABNB · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Airbnb raises 2026 outlook as hotels and AI broaden growth

Airbnb’s Q3 results and raised outlook support the case that demand and newer categories can extend growth. The evidence is encouraging, but the durability and economics of hotel and service expansion, AI deployment, and Reserve Now Pay Later remain important tests.

Why did ABNB fall 3.5% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $101.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.16 Consensus $2.85
EPS surprise +10.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.87B Consensus $4.75B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -3.5% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
ABNBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter’s account of strong growth and early hotel and service expansion, Q3 analysis emphasizes faster revenue growth, more than 50 AI-enabled product launches, a new American Express partnership, and a broader hotel contribution. Management also raised its full-year outlook.

Guidance delta

Management raised its 2026 outlook to high-teen revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 36%, according to the supplied Q3 transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue growth accelerated, while gross booking value also grew strongly, according to the transcript analysis.
  • Hotels and ancillary services are expanding, with management pointing to cross-category guest acquisition.
  • AI product velocity and new distribution partnerships broaden the growth effort, but their lasting financial contribution remains to be demonstrated.

Management priorities

  • Roll out the proprietary AI travel agent in the first half of 2027 and continue improving AI-enabled discovery.
  • Expand boutique hotel inventory and Neighborhood pages while developing service and airline integrations.
  • Scale Reserve Now Pay Later while managing its effect on take rate and cancellations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ABNB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.66 Q4 '23 actual $0.76, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.24 Q1 '24 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.14 Q3 '24 actual $2.13, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.94 Q2 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.21, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.67 Q4 '25 actual $0.56, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.30 Q1 '26 actual $0.26, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.26 Q2 '26 actual $1.37, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $3.16, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '27 estimate $0.40
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2452.2%
Neutral1839.1%
Bearish48.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$190.5Current
$60Low
$163.03Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 3, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeOct 2, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $190.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$210$171.05 +10.2%Oct 27, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$185$160.39 -2.9%Oct 7, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$191$160.47 +0.3%Oct 1, 2026
China Renaissance Securities (US) Inc.Analyst unavailable$200$149.58 +5.0%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$170$168.32 -10.8%Sep 16, 2026
See 161 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Airbnb, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, manages a global digital marketplace. This platform seamlessly connects individuals, known as hosts, who wish to offer a variety of accommodations and unique local experiences, with guests seeking such services worldwide. Users can easily book anything from private rooms and primary residences to vacation homes through its online and mobile channels. Originally established as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. in 2007, the company officially rebranded to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San Francisco, California.

Historical context

All ABNB earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-06T14:15:45.166934+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T14:30:45.366629+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-06T14:30:45.363973+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.