Airbnb, Inc. · ABNB · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Airbnb Beats on Revenue, Misses EPS, Raises Full-Year Guidance

Airbnb delivered a strong Q1 FY2026, with revenue up 18% year-over-year to $2.7 billion and gross booking value rising 19% to $29 billion, both above the high end of guidance. Despite an EPS miss ($0.26 vs. $0.30 estimated), management raised full-year revenue growth guidance to low-mid-teens and reaffirmed a minimum 35% adjusted EBITDA margin. The quarter was driven by the Reserve Now Pay Later program (now ~20% of global GBV), AI-enabled efficiency (10% lower cost per booking, 40% of support issues resolved by AI), and big-event demand from the World Cup. The stock traded roughly flat on the print but drifted approximately 5% lower over the subsequent period.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $90.87B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Airbnb, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, manages a global digital marketplace. This platform seamlessly connects individuals, known as hosts, who wish to offer a variety of accommodations and unique local experiences, with guests seeking such services worldwide. Users can easily book anything from private rooms and primary residences to vacation homes through its online and mobile channels. Originally established as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. in 2007, the company officially rebranded to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San Francisco, California.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.26 Consensus $0
EPS surprise -14.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.68B Consensus $2.62B
Revenue surprise +2.3% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ABNB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.66 Q4 '23 actual $0.76, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.24 Q1 '24 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.14 Q3 '24 actual $2.13, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.94 Q2 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.21, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.67 Q4 '25 actual $0.56, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.30 Q1 '26 actual $0.26, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.26 Q3 '26 estimate $2.78 Q4 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '27 estimate $0.40

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold44 ratings
Bullish2147.7%
Neutral2045.5%
Bearish36.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$153.11Previous close
$60Low
$152.91Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 29, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJun 12, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainMay 11, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 11, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 8, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $153.11. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$170$146.86 +11.0%Jul 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$155$146.04 +1.2%Jul 20, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$175$146.33 +14.3%Jul 14, 2026
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$160$145.56 +4.5%Jun 29, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$160$133.72 +4.5%Jun 5, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$162$143.12 +5.8%May 11, 2026
BarclaysTrevor Young$125$141.49 -18.4%May 11, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$170$145.24 +11.0%May 8, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$150$145.52 -2.0%May 8, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$170$141.86 +11.0%May 8, 2026
See 132 more

Track every rating change on ABNB the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.0% Up to 20 sessions
ABNBSPY benchmark

Follow ABNB with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue grew 18% YoY to $2.68B, beating the $2.62B consensus by 2.3%. EPS of $0.26 missed the $0.30 estimate by 14.5%. Gross booking value rose 19% YoY to $29B, above the high end of guidance. Reserve Now Pay Later reached ~20% of global GBV and is expanding to desktop and new markets. AI now generates nearly 60% of Airbnb's code; 40% of support issues are AI-resolved. World Cup generated 100,000 incremental new listings, with 50%+ retained after six months. Over 55% of guests who book a hotel on Airbnb subsequently book a home. Full-year revenue growth outlook raised to low-mid-teens; minimum 35% adjusted EBITDA margin reaffirmed.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue growth outlook to low-mid-teens and reaffirmed a minimum 35% adjusted EBITDA margin. Capex outlook remains stable. Guidance sentiment was characterized as raised, with management citing continued momentum in expansion markets and new ancillary offerings.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and GBV both beat guidance; full-year revenue growth outlook raised to low-mid-teens.
  • Reserve Now Pay Later now accounts for roughly 20% of global GBV and is expanding globally.
  • AI is cutting costs (10% lower cost per booking) and accelerating feature delivery, with 40% of support issues resolved by AI.
  • Hotel pilots are scaling rapidly, delivering double-digit growth versus the broader business.
  • Big-event strategy (World Cup, Olympics) is driving host acquisition and brand awareness.

Management priorities

  • May 20 summer release featuring new AI-driven features and product updates.
  • Further rollout of Reserve Now Pay Later to desktop and additional markets.
  • Expansion of boutique and independent hotel inventory with enhanced merchandising.
  • Continued development of ancillary services (grocery via Instacart, potential car and air travel offerings).
  • Ongoing AI investments to improve search relevance, listing creation, and operational efficiency.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T06:32:06.202486+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T06:32:06.199612+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.