Airbnb, Inc. · ABNB · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Airbnb plans new investment while maintaining growth focus

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: strong recent growth, product delivery and expansion initiatives could support longer-term growth, while near-term investment, execution, competition and regulation remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $95.34B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.61
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.42B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.9% Up to 20 sessions
ABNBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management introduced a $200–$250 million investment in new offerings, emphasized AI-powered customer support and search, and continued expanding the cohost network into Japan and South Korea. The strategy adds new growth initiatives while accepting near-term margin pressure.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; Q1 2025 guidance called for 4–6% year-over-year revenue growth and a flat adjusted EBITDA margin excluding FX and calendar effects.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted 535-plus product upgrades and a rebuilt technology stack.
  • A $200–$250 million investment in new offerings is expected to pressure margins early in 2025.
  • AI support, the cohost network, experiences and expansion beyond core markets are central to the next phase.

Management priorities

  • Scale new businesses and the experiences platform
  • Roll out AI-powered customer support and extend AI into search
  • Expand the cohost network and geographic reach while modernizing the technology stack

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ABNB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold46 ratings
Bullish2452.2%
Neutral1839.1%
Bearish48.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$160.63Previous close
$60Low
$163.11Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
Keybanc Overweight Sector WeightUpgradeOct 2, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $160.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$185$160.39 +15.2%Oct 7, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$191$160.47 +18.9%Oct 1, 2026
China Renaissance Securities (US) Inc.Analyst unavailable$200$149.58 +24.5%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$170$168.32 +5.8%Sep 16, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$161$168.27 +0.2%Sep 10, 2026
See 160 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Airbnb, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, manages a global digital marketplace. This platform seamlessly connects individuals, known as hosts, who wish to offer a variety of accommodations and unique local experiences, with guests seeking such services worldwide. Users can easily book anything from private rooms and primary residences to vacation homes through its online and mobile channels. Originally established as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. in 2007, the company officially rebranded to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Its corporate headquarters are situated in San Francisco, California.

Historical context

All ABNB earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-31T19:49:58.892833+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T08:30:43.940777+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T08:30:43.937772+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.