Zebra Technologies Corporation · ZBRA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Zebra Posts 10.6% Q4 Growth as RFID and AI Momentum Builds

The quarter provides evidence for a constructive operating trajectory: demand in RFID, machine vision and AI solutions, together with acquisitions, supported strong growth and maintained guidance. The main test is whether pricing and execution can offset memory costs while preserving margins and sustaining demand.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $17.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.33 Consensus $4.34
EPS surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.48B Consensus $1.47B
Revenue surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.6% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +10.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -26.1% Up to 20 sessions
ZBRASPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, reported growth accelerated from 5% to 10.6%, the company introduced a two-point memory-cost headwind and described mitigation through pricing and sourcing, while adding detail on the Frontline AI Suite and exiting robotics to refocus on RFID, machine vision and AI.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook: 2026 sales growth of 9–13% and adjusted EBITDA margin around 22%, with the two-point memory-cost headwind expected to be fully offset.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 revenue grew 10.6% year over year to $1.5 billion, exceeding guidance; non-GAAP EPS was $4.33.
  • RFID, machine vision, AI solutions and the Elo Touch and Fotoneo acquisitions were central growth drivers.
  • Free cash flow was $831 million; Zebra repurchased $587 million and added $1 billion to its repurchase authorization.
  • Management is using pricing actions and higher-density memory sourcing to address a two-point gross-margin headwind.

Management priorities

  • Expand the Frontline AI Suite, including AI Enablers, Blueprints and Zebra Companion.
  • Scale RFID-enabled mobile computers and machine-vision initiatives across targeted verticals.
  • Use Elo Touch to deepen the modern-store offering in retail, quick-service and hospitality.
  • Continue share repurchases while integrating recent acquisitions and focusing on RFID, machine vision and AI.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ZBRA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.45 Q1 '24 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.81 Q2 '24 actual $3.18, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.24 Q3 '24 actual $3.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.34 Q2 '25 actual $3.61, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.75 Q3 '25 actual $3.88, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.34 Q4 '25 actual $4.33, match Q1 '26 estimate $4.21 Q1 '26 actual $4.75, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.36 Q2 '26 actual $6.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.89 Q4 '26 estimate $5.15 Q1 '27 estimate $5.20 Q2 '27 estimate $5.62
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1970.4%
Neutral829.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$373.31Previous close
$256Low
$368.82Average
$500High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 5, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $373.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
NeedhamRobert Jamieson$435$351.81 +16.5%Sep 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$355$373.87 -4.9%Aug 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyMeta Marshall$360$373.76 -3.6%Aug 5, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$430$368.83 +15.2%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$410$368.83 +9.8%Aug 5, 2026
See 39 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Zebra Technologies Corporation, alongside its affiliated entities, delivers enterprise asset intelligence solutions globally within the automatic identification and data capture (AIDC) sector. Operating through its Asset Intelligence & Tracking and Enterprise Visibility & Mobility segments, the company provides a comprehensive suite of products and services. Its hardware lineup includes specialized printers for generating labels, wristbands, tickets, receipts, and plastic cards, alongside advanced dye-sublimation thermal card printers for secure identification and financial transactions, and RFID printers for data encoding. Complementing these are various accessories and essential consumables such as thermal labels, ribbons, RFID tags, and critical temperature-monitoring labels, notably used in vaccine distribution.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T05:56:07.849834+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T05:56:07.846374+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.