Block, Inc. · XYZ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Block raises 2026 outlook as AI and GPV momentum continue

The Q2 analysis supports a constructive thesis for Block: raised guidance, resilient GPV and profit growth, AI-enabled product velocity, and Neighborhoods adoption provide evidence of operating momentum. The thesis remains dependent on cost control, credit normalization, partner execution and SFS compliance.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $46.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.02 Consensus $0.87
EPS surprise +17.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.62B Consensus $6.47B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.2% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -6.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.5% Up to 20 sessions
XYZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management emphasized a higher full-year outlook, launched Buzz and open-sourced Goose, reported more than $1 billion of annualized Neighborhoods seller GPV, and described SFS deposits and in-house acquiring as expanding capabilities.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 guidance, including gross profit, adjusted operating income and EPS growth outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported strong Q2 growth and raised full-year 2026 guidance.
  • AI tools Buzz and Goose are intended to accelerate development and improve cost management.
  • Cash App, Square and Neighborhoods were highlighted as growth drivers.
  • Hardware supply-chain depth was cited as a buffer against memory-cost pressure.

Management priorities

  • Scale Buzz and Goose and explore AI monetization
  • Broaden Neighborhoods and seller engagement
  • Expand Tag hardware and brand collaborations
  • Grow SFS deposits and in-house acquiring
  • Increase ISO and field-sales investment

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XYZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $0.63 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.64 Q3 '25 actual $0.54, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.65 Q4 '25 actual $0.65, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.68 Q1 '26 actual $0.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.87 Q2 '26 actual $1.02, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.03 Q4 '26 estimate $1.18 Q1 '27 estimate $1.12

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy39 ratings
Bullish3076.9%
Neutral820.5%
Bearish12.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$77.22Current
$51Low
$116.76Average
$340High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
StoneX Buy HoldUpgradeSep 10, 2026
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 10, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $77.22. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Coker PalmerMark Palmer$105$79.4 +36.0%Sep 10, 2026
ScotiabankLance Jessurun$82$77.88 +6.2%Sep 2, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$115$81.38 +48.9%Aug 25, 2026
Canaccord GenuityJoseph Vafi$100$82.6 +29.5%Aug 14, 2026
Argus ResearchStephen Biggar$103$79.72 +33.4%Aug 7, 2026
See 128 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Block, Inc., operating through its subsidiaries, develops innovative tools that empower merchants to process card payments, gain insights from robust reporting and analytics, and benefit from expedited next-day fund settlement. The company offers a diverse range of hardware solutions, including the Magstripe reader for traditional swipe-based transactions, and the Contactless and chip reader, which accommodates Europay, MasterCard, and Visa (EMV) chip cards alongside Near Field Communication (NFC) payments. For comprehensive point-of-sale functionality, Block provides the Square Stand, enabling an iPad to serve as a complete payment terminal, and the Square Register, an integrated system combining proprietary hardware, software, and payment processing capabilities. Additionally, the Square Terminal offers a modern alternative to conventional keypad devices, functioning as both a payment processor and receipt printer, accepting tap, dip, and swipe payment methods.…

Historical context

All XYZ earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T15:27:55.495858+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T15:20:53.364097+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T15:20:53.361049+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.