XPO Logistics, Inc. · XPO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

XPO beats estimates, but current transcript analysis is unavailable

XPO delivered an earnings beat, but the supplied facts do not include current-quarter transcript analysis, so the durability of demand, earnings growth, and management's forward narrative cannot be assessed confidently.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $22.20B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.70 Consensus $1.48
EPS surprise +14.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.35B Consensus $2.28B
Revenue surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.8% Up to 20 sessions
XPOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied scorecard shows adjusted EPS and revenue above estimates. The supplied facts do not provide current-quarter transcript analysis or a current guidance update; compared with the prior quarter, the available narrative remains focused on pricing, capacity, premium services, and AI-enabled productivity.

Guidance delta

Current-quarter guidance change is not available in the supplied analysis. Prior-quarter guidance sentiment was maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Reported adjusted EPS of $1.70 versus a $1.48 estimate and revenue of $2.355 billion versus a $2.277 billion estimate.
  • The event-session stock move was -0.06%, versus a 1.68% benchmark gain; subsequent drift was -3.84%.
  • Prior-quarter analysis emphasized pricing, premium services, capacity, and AI-enabled productivity as operating levers.

Management priorities

  • Prior-quarter priorities included expanding premium services and pricing discipline.
  • Continue capacity and fleet investments while pursuing operating-ratio improvement.
  • Scale AI-enabled damage prevention and pickup-and-delivery optimization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XPO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.01 Q2 '24 actual $1.12, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.91 Q3 '24 actual $1.02, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.07, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.76 Q4 '25 actual $0.88, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $1.01, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.48 Q2 '26 actual $1.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.58 Q3 '26 actual $1.70, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.32 Q1 '27 estimate $1.39 Q2 '27 estimate $1.91 Q3 '27 estimate $1.90
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2271.0%
Neutral825.8%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$189.57Current
$75Low
$181.91Average
$275High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 2, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 2, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 13, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 6, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 4, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 1, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainApr 22, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 8, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 12, 2024
Loop Capital Hold BuyDowngradeAug 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeJul 31, 2023
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 11, 2023
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 10, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 19, 2022
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeOct 17, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2019
FBR Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 23, 2015
Sidoti & Co. Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 4, 2014
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $189.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$235$184.89 +24.0%Oct 30, 2026
UBSThomas Wadewitz$232$183.01 +22.4%Oct 30, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$210$183.01 +10.8%Oct 30, 2026
JefferiesStephanie Moore$275$183.01 +45.1%Oct 30, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$205$186.27 +8.1%Oct 15, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$230$180.36 +21.3%Oct 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$220$182.5 +16.1%Oct 7, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$194$184.38 +2.3%Oct 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$230$179.73 +21.3%Oct 2, 2026
BernsteinDavid Vernon$244$184.25 +28.7%Sep 10, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$238$200.52 +25.5%Jul 31, 2026
StephensBascome Majors$270$199.26 +42.4%Jul 31, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$247$199.26 +30.3%Jul 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$241$210.61 +27.1%Jul 21, 2026
SusquehannaHarrison Bauer$214$208.83 +12.9%Jul 14, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$225$209.33 +18.7%Jul 13, 2026
UBSThomas Wadewitz$257$204.64 +35.6%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$115$209 -39.3%Jul 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$250$219.26 +31.9%Jun 5, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$245$218.69 +29.2%Jun 4, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$212$216.62 +11.8%Jun 2, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$236$215.28 +24.5%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$105$217.67 -44.6%May 1, 2026
Truist FinancialLucas Servera$240$214.24 +26.6%May 1, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$222$217.68 +17.1%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$233$218.5 +22.9%May 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$237$220.13 +25.0%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$250$220.13 +31.9%May 1, 2026
Goldman SachsJordan Alliger$220$220.13 +16.1%Apr 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$232$210.33 +22.4%Apr 16, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$198$191.39 +4.4%Mar 26, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$230$202.96 +21.3%Feb 19, 2026
SusquehannaBascome Majors$210$200.1 +10.8%Feb 11, 2026
Truist FinancialLucas Servera$200$195.4 +5.5%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$210$201.61 +10.8%Feb 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$191.01 +5.5%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$236$190.34 +24.5%Feb 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$206$190.81 +8.7%Feb 6, 2026
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$198$185.62 +4.4%Feb 6, 2026
Deutsche BankRicha Harnain$250$185.62 +31.9%Feb 6, 2026
Wells FargoChristian Wetherbee$205$185.62 +8.1%Feb 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$195$185.62 +2.9%Feb 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$180$185.62 -5.0%Feb 5, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$205$185.62 +8.1%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$95$185.62 -49.9%Feb 5, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$163$150.16 -14.0%Jan 15, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$148$146.13 -21.9%Jan 12, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$170$145.15 -10.3%Jan 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$167$146.66 -11.9%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90$142.92 -52.5%Dec 8, 2025
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$156$139.91 -17.7%Nov 26, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$151$144.09 -20.3%Oct 31, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$162$138.76 -14.5%Oct 31, 2025
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$149$141.69 -21.4%Oct 31, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$154$135.64 -18.8%Oct 31, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$140$124.04 -26.1%Oct 28, 2025
Truist FinancialLucas Servera$145$128.93 -23.5%Oct 14, 2025
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$150$128.43 -20.9%Oct 14, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$83$128.5 -56.2%Oct 6, 2025
UBSThomas Wadewitz$162$126.84 -14.5%Oct 3, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$141$127.35 -25.6%Sep 30, 2025
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$145$135.69 -23.5%Jul 24, 2025
StephensDaniel Imbro$131$103.94 -30.9%May 1, 2025
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$142$97.46 -25.1%Apr 14, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$156$108.35 -17.7%Mar 7, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsRick Paterson$141$134.19 -25.6%Jan 10, 2025
Wells FargoChristian Wetherbee$170$135.46 -10.3%Jan 7, 2025
Goldman SachsJordan Alliger$150$133.99 -20.9%Oct 30, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesKen Hoexter$152$133.99 -19.8%Oct 30, 2024
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$162$133.99 -14.5%Oct 30, 2024
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$126$112.9 -33.5%Oct 21, 2024
SusquehannaBascome Majors$160$110.81 -15.6%Sep 18, 2024
BMO CapitalFadi Chamoun$145$120.84 -23.5%Aug 16, 2024
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$125$107.43 -34.1%Aug 5, 2024
BarclaysBrandon Oglenski$145$103.7 -23.5%Jun 27, 2024
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$124$105.39 -34.6%Jun 25, 2024
SusquehannaBascome Majors$145$107.04 -23.5%Jun 12, 2024
Wells FargoChristian Wetherbee$125$108 -34.1%Jun 6, 2024
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$120$105.4 -36.7%May 23, 2024
OppenheimerScott Schneeberger$140$126.32 -26.1%Apr 10, 2024
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$80$57.88 -57.8%Aug 9, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$75$59.86 -60.4%Aug 8, 2022
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$70$47.94 -63.1%Jul 15, 2022
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$67$46.79 -64.7%Jul 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$75$50.46 -60.4%Jul 8, 2022
Stifel NicolausBruce Chan$92$49.13 -51.5%Jun 28, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$90$56.95 -52.5%Apr 20, 2022
CitigroupChristian Wetherbee$98$69.91 -48.3%Apr 3, 2022
Cowen & Co.Jason Seidl$117$75.33 -38.3%Mar 16, 2022
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$91$70.04 -52.0%Mar 9, 2022
Deutsche BankAmit Mehrotra$120$61.93 -36.7%Mar 8, 2022
JefferiesHamzah Mazari$103$61.93 -45.7%Mar 8, 2022
Cowen & Co.Jason Seidl$115$66.71 -39.3%Feb 13, 2022
KeyBancTodd Fowler$95$68.74 -49.9%Feb 10, 2022
Benchmark Co.Christopher Kuhn$103$74.39 -45.7%Dec 22, 2021
UBSThomas Wadewitz$96$72.44 -49.4%Nov 30, 2021
Credit SuisseAriel Rosa$88$77.58 -53.6%Nov 17, 2021
Morgan StanleyRavi Shanker$80$77.39 -57.8%Nov 9, 2021
Goldman SachsJordan Alliger$109$82.09 -42.5%Nov 4, 2021
SusquehannaBascome Majors$101$77.75 -46.7%Oct 14, 2021
Truist FinancialStephanie Benjamin$105$88.44 -44.6%Aug 27, 2021
StephensJack Atkins$155$84.07 -18.2%May 5, 2021
Vertical ResearchJeff Kauffman$164$84.07 -13.5%May 5, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

XPO Logistics, Inc. is a prominent provider of freight shipping solutions, operating extensively across the United States, wider North America, various European nations including France and the United Kingdom, and globally. The company's business activities are structured into two primary divisions. The North American LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) segment delivers crucial LTL services, guaranteeing timely and geographically comprehensive transportation for regional, inter-regional, and cross-continental freight. This division also handles cross-border shipments connecting the U.S.…

Historical context

All XPO earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T22:11:18.858072+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T11:50:43.971876+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T11:50:43.969108+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.