XP Inc. · XP · FY2024 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2024

XP Inc.: Strong Growth, Reaffirmed Margin Target, Macro Risks

XP's strong growth, expanding client assets and adviser productivity initiatives support the platform's operating trajectory, but the outlook remains sensitive to macro conditions, net new money, take rates and competitive pressure.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $15.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.36 Consensus $0.39
EPS surprise -7.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $808.8M Consensus $809.3M
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -16.1% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -15.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.0% Up to 20 sessions
XPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest supplied analysis shows stronger year-over-year growth, rapid early adoption of the financial planning tool, and a broader contribution from virtual segments. Management also reaffirmed its 2026 pretax margin target and outlined continued investment in private and wholesale banking.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reaffirmed its 2026 pretax profit margin target of 30%-34%.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and net income grew 28% and 29% year over year, respectively.
  • Client assets grew 20% year over year and the adviser network expanded 16%.
  • The financial planning tool had more than 2,500 advisers onboard within two weeks.
  • Management maintained cost discipline, with the efficiency ratio improving to 36.5%.

Management priorities

  • Scale the financial planning tool across the adviser network.
  • Integrate open investments with the planning platform and deepen cross-sell.
  • Invest in private banking and wholesale banking capabilities.
  • Maintain cost discipline and return excess capital to shareholders in the second half.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $0.42 Q3 '23 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '23 estimate $0.41 Q4 '23 actual $0.43, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.39 Q1 '24 actual $0.36, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.35 Q2 '24 actual $0.39, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.43 Q2 '25 actual $0.43, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.45, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.45 Q4 '25 actual $0.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.49 Q1 '26 actual $0.47, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.53, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $3.01 Q1 '27 estimate $3.08 Q2 '27 estimate $3.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy10 ratings
Bullish880.0%
Neutral220.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$29.23Current
$19Low
$26.78Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Itau BBA Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 4, 2025
Show 5 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $29.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$37$30.44 +26.6%Oct 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$22$17.4 -24.7%Jan 19, 2026
UBSThiago Batista$25$17.58 -14.5%Dec 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$23$16.53 -21.3%Oct 16, 2025
UBSThiago Batista$21$18.25 -28.2%Jul 11, 2024
See 6 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. The company operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. It offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients.…

Historical context

All XP earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T00:00:46.788428+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T00:00:46.785661+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.