Xcel Energy Inc. · XEL · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Xcel maintains guidance as wildfire and data-center priorities advance

The quarter supports a mixed assessment: management maintained guidance and highlighted resilient-infrastructure, clean-energy and data-center opportunities, but the supplied scorecard shows EPS and revenue below consensus and the outlook remains exposed to wildfire, regulatory and execution risks.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $48.75B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.54 Consensus $0.57
EPS surprise -5.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.04B Consensus $3.29B
Revenue surprise -7.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move -1.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.9% Up to 20 sessions
XELSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis highlights expanded wildfire-mitigation tools, a 6,700 MW data-center request pipeline by 2030, a $13 million Texas distribution-rider approval and $1.7 billion of capital investment, while guidance remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2024 EPS guidance of $3.50-$3.60.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 EPS was $0.54, while the supplied scorecard shows an EPS miss versus consensus.
  • Management highlighted $1.7 billion of capital investment and continued clean-energy resource processes.
  • Data-center requests totaling 6,700 MW by 2030 were identified as a potential growth opportunity.
  • Wildfire mitigation, regulatory execution and projected data-center load remain central to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Advance wildfire mitigation and resiliency plans across Texas, New Mexico and Minnesota.
  • Continue renewable-resource RFPs and associated clean-energy investment.
  • Pursue data-center contracts and transmission upgrades while progressing regulatory filings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
XEL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.78 Q1 '24 actual $0.88, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.57 Q2 '24 actual $0.54, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.26 Q3 '24 actual $1.25, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.65 Q2 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.32 Q3 '25 actual $1.24, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.96 Q4 '25 actual $0.96, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.91 Q1 '26 actual $0.91, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.79 Q2 '26 actual $0.93, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.39 Q4 '26 estimate $1.04 Q1 '27 estimate $1.02
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1661.5%
Neutral830.8%
Bearish27.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$77.86Current
$58Low
$85.15Average
$101High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 20, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $77.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$89$76.78 +14.3%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$85$76.8 +9.2%Oct 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$86$76.54 +10.5%Oct 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$86$76.45 +10.5%Oct 20, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$91$75.14 +16.9%Oct 20, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Xcel Energy Inc., through its various operating units, functions as a multifaceted energy company involved in the complete cycle of electricity – from its production and procurement to its transmission, delivery, and eventual sale. Its business is organized into three main divisions: Regulated Electric Utility, Regulated Natural Gas Utility, and a final "All Other" segment. The company employs a diverse range of energy sources for electricity generation, including traditional options like coal, nuclear power, natural gas, and oil, as well as a strong focus on renewables such as hydroelectric, solar, biomass, wood/refuse, and wind. In addition to its electric services, Xcel Energy is active in the natural gas sector, managing the acquisition, pipeline transport, distribution, and retail sales of natural gas.…

Historical context

All XEL earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T22:20:39.677210+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T22:20:39.674483+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.