Wynn Resorts, Limited · WYNN · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Wynn Resorts: Stable EBITDA, New Projects, and Macau Risks

The quarter supports a mixed view: luxury demand, liquidity, and development projects provide longer-term support, but flat adjusted EBITDA, below-consensus results, Macau competition, and execution risks temper the case for sustained earnings growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $7.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.90 Consensus $1.17
EPS surprise -23.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.69B Consensus $1.73B
Revenue surprise -2.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -9.3% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -10.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.3% Up to 20 sessions
WYNNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the company moved from record EBITDA and a more explicitly confident operating update to modest revenue growth and essentially flat adjusted EBITDA. Capital-return capacity remained a focus, while the UAE project and Macau venue investments continued to advance; management also disclosed a UAE gaming license and a larger repurchase authorization.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; no quantified guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew modestly while adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat year over year.
  • Management highlighted $3.5 billion of liquidity and leverage of just over 4x net debt/EBITDA.
  • The board increased share-repurchase authorization to $1 billion and declared a $0.25 per-share dividend.
  • Planned projects include Macau food and entertainment venues, hotel renovations, smart-table deployment, and the UAE Al Marjan Island development.
  • Cost discipline continued despite union payroll pressure and higher variable costs.

Management priorities

  • Advance Macau food, entertainment, gaming-venue, and hotel projects.
  • Complete the smart-table rollout across Wynn Macau by early 2025.
  • Develop the UAE Al Marjan Island project.
  • Use luxury positioning, loyalty initiatives, and venue upgrades to support guest demand.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WYNN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.27 Q1 '24 actual $1.59, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.14 Q2 '24 actual $1.12, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1.20 Q2 '25 actual $1.09, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.15 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.33 Q4 '25 actual $1.17, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.25 Q1 '26 actual $1.25, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.99 Q2 '26 actual $1.24, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.54 Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $1.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy46 ratings
Bullish3065.2%
Neutral1532.6%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$74.2Current
$91Low
$127.19Average
$155High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Show 41 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $74.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialBarry Jonas$110$77.46 +48.2%Oct 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$77.47 +61.7%Oct 20, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$75.6 +68.5%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyStephen Grambling$120$75.6 +61.7%Oct 19, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$102$74.96 +37.5%Oct 13, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wynn Resorts, Limited excels in the conceptualization, development, and operation of upscale integrated resort properties. The Wynn Palace, situated in Cotai, boasts a gaming floor spanning 424,000 square feet, which includes 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, exclusive private gaming salons, and sky casinos. Accommodations are offered in a luxurious hotel tower featuring 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, complemented by a health club, spa, salon, and swimming pool. This location further provides 14 distinct food and beverage establishments, 107,000 square feet for retail, 37,000 square feet of conference and event space, alongside a performance lake and elaborate floral displays. The Wynn Macau resort presents a 252,000 square-foot casino housing 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a dedicated poker room. Its two opulent hotel towers collectively feature 1,010 guest rooms and suites, enhanced by two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a swimming pool.…

Historical context

All WYNN earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T22:30:43.870507+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T22:30:43.867723+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.