Weyerhaeuser Company · WY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Weyerhaeuser: Timberlands Strengthen as Growth Projects Advance

Weyerhaeuser's diversified timberlands and expanding Climate Solutions portfolio showed resilience in Q3, but the next-year case depends on wood-product demand, cost control, project execution, and capital discipline.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $14.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.08 Consensus $0.04
EPS surprise +128.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.86B Consensus $1.92B
Revenue surprise -2.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.0% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
WYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the analysis shifts from raised guidance and improving lumber conditions to maintained guidance, stronger reported timberland performance, increased Q4 repurchases, and more emphasis on Climate Solutions, geothermal development, and AI-led efficiency.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained: Q4 timberland earnings are expected to be comparable with Q3, while Strategic Land Solutions and Wood Products EBITDA are expected to be modestly lower.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA rose 14% year over year to $248 million, led by timberlands.
  • Management highlighted Monticello, biocarbon, solar, geothermal, and AI initiatives as longer-term growth projects.
  • Higher rates, diesel costs, soft housing demand, weather, and trade conditions remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance Monticello, the McComb biocarbon plant, and additional solar sites.
  • Expand Climate Solutions through forest carbon, biocarbon, and geothermal development.
  • Use AI and machine-learning pilots to improve timberland and manufacturing efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.21 Q2 '24 actual $0.21, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.01 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.10 Q2 '25 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $0.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.13 Q4 '25 actual $-0.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.08 Q2 '26 actual $0.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.04 Q3 '26 actual $0.08, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.03 Q1 '27 estimate $0.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1458.3%
Neutral833.3%
Bearish28.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.35Current
$25Low
$32.75Average
$45High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 27, 2026
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 14, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeJul 10, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 6, 2024
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 20, 2022
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJun 23, 2022
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeMay 3, 2021
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 9, 2020
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainJan 23, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2018
Dundee Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 12, 2016
Vertical Research Hold BuyDowngradeMay 3, 2016
CLSA Outperform UnderperformUpgradeNov 13, 2015
UBS Sell SellMaintainMay 4, 2015
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 20, 2013
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainJun 24, 2013
Buckingham Research Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 31, 2013
McAdams Wright Ragen Sell HoldDowngradeOct 31, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $20.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$25$19.3 +22.9%Oct 27, 2026
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$27$19.3 +32.7%Oct 27, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$25$19.66 +22.9%Oct 16, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$30$18.5 +47.4%Oct 8, 2026
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$30$22.5 +47.4%Jul 10, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$28$25.01 +37.6%Apr 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$29$25.92 +42.5%Feb 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$28$24.26 +37.6%Jan 6, 2026
New StreetHamir Patel$28$23.41 +37.6%Dec 12, 2025
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$33$22.76 +62.2%Dec 10, 2025
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$31$23 +52.3%Nov 3, 2025
RBC CapitalMatthew McKellar$30$23 +47.4%Nov 3, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$27$23.94 +32.7%Oct 13, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$34$32.59 +67.1%Oct 15, 2024
Goldman SachsSusan Maklari$38$32.45 +86.7%Sep 16, 2024
CitigroupAnthony Pettinari$36$31.27 +76.9%Jul 29, 2024
RBC CapitalMatthew McKellar$37$31.59 +81.8%Jul 29, 2024
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$36$31.5 +76.9%Jul 29, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Roxland$31$31.6 +52.3%Jul 29, 2024
BMO CapitalMark Wilde$38$35.61 +86.7%Mar 22, 2024
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$36$34.34 +76.9%Feb 6, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$39$27.6 +91.6%Sep 29, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$45$34.62 +121.1%Sep 12, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$41$33.26 +101.5%Jun 23, 2022
D.A. DavidsonKurt Yinger$30$39.9 +47.4%Apr 18, 2022
RBC CapitalPaul Quinn$45$39.9 +121.1%Apr 14, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable forestry criteria. Beyond its land stewardship, Weyerhaeuser is also a leading producer of wood-based goods throughout North America. The company's common stock is available for trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WY.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T20:05:52.947977+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T20:50:45.104220+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T20:50:45.101468+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.