Weyerhaeuser Company · WY · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Weyerhaeuser: Climate Solutions Strength, Lumber Risks Remain

The supplied analysis supports a mixed but constructive operating picture: Climate Solutions, timberland optimization, and new biocarbon and engineered-wood initiatives provide growth avenues, while weak lumber and OSB pricing, leverage, inventory, and execution risks limit the strength of the near-term case.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $14.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.09 Consensus $-0.13
EPS surprise +30.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.54B Consensus $1.57B
Revenue surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.5% Up to 20 sessions
WYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasized full-year adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion, stronger Climate Solutions performance, expanded biocarbon plans, the TimberStrand facility, and increased shareholder returns. Guidance was maintained, while lumber and OSB weakness remained a central risk.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2026 outlook; the prior analysis had described guidance as raised.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA reached $1 billion, with Climate Solutions up 42% year over year.
  • The company completed $406 million of timberland divestitures and launched a TimberStrand facility.
  • Shareholder returns included a 5% dividend increase and $766 million returned.
  • Management reaffirmed 2026 expectations for stable timberland earnings, Climate Solutions growth, and $400-$450 million of capex.

Management priorities

  • Commission the new TimberStrand plant in Arkansas.
  • Expand biocarbon production and develop additional forest carbon projects.
  • Continue timberland portfolio optimization and selective divestitures.
  • Execute the $400-$450 million capex program for reforestation, silviculture, and mill upgrades.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.14 Q4 '23 actual $0.16, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.15 Q1 '24 actual $0.16, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.21 Q2 '24 actual $0.21, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.01 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.10 Q2 '25 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $0.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.13 Q4 '25 actual $-0.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.08 Q2 '26 actual $0.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.09 Q4 '26 estimate $0.03 Q1 '27 estimate $0.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1354.2%
Neutral937.5%
Bearish28.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$19.69Current
$27Low
$33.93Average
$45High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeJul 10, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $19.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$30$22.5 +52.4%Jul 10, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$28$25.01 +42.2%Apr 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$29$25.92 +47.3%Feb 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$28$24.26 +42.2%Jan 6, 2026
New StreetHamir Patel$28$23.41 +42.2%Dec 12, 2025
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented by additional timberlands in Canada managed under long-term licenses. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable forestry criteria. Beyond its land stewardship, Weyerhaeuser is also a leading producer of wood-based goods throughout North America. Operating as a real estate investment trust (REIT), the firm achieved net sales of $7.5 billion in 2020. Its approximately 9,400 employees cater to a worldwide customer base, and Weyerhaeuser's commitment to environmental, social, and governance principles is acknowledged by its inclusion in the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index. The company's common stock is available for trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WY.

Historical context

All WY earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T10:51:02.931923+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T10:51:02.929067+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.