Weyerhaeuser Company · WY · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Weyerhaeuser Maintains Outlook Amid Tariff and Housing Risks

The supplied analysis provides partial support for a resilient-demand thesis: domestic log demand, Southern Yellow Pine pricing, real-estate mix, and climate-related projects are constructive. However, the evidence is not sufficient to establish a durable earnings-growth trajectory because tariff, housing, inventory, maintenance, and delayed CCS cash-flow risks remain material.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $13.39B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.13
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.78B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.7% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.7% Up to 20 sessions
WYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis places more emphasis on near-term lumber tariffs, OSB maintenance, inventory, and harvest sustainability, while continuing to identify domestic demand, Southern Yellow Pine pricing, CCS, solar leasing, and real-estate mix as supports. Guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained, consistent with the prior quarter; no new quantitative guidance change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted stronger domestic log demand and Southern Yellow Pine pricing as current supports.
  • Natural Climate Solutions, CCS development, and solar leasing remain longer-term growth initiatives.
  • The prior quarter emphasized improving demand, capital allocation, and the Arkansas TimberStrand investment.
  • The near-term setup remains balanced by tariff uncertainty, housing softness, maintenance, and inventory risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance CCS project development and solar sites.
  • Maintain harvest levels while pursuing fee-harvest growth.
  • Continue share repurchases under the existing authorization.
  • Use real-estate sales mix to support segment EBITDA.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.14 Q4 '23 actual $0.16, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.15 Q1 '24 actual $0.16, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.21 Q2 '24 actual $0.21, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.01 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.10 Q2 '25 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $0.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.13 Q4 '25 actual $-0.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.08 Q2 '26 actual $0.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.08 Q4 '26 estimate $0.03 Q1 '27 estimate $0.11
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1354.2%
Neutral937.5%
Bearish28.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.57Previous close
$27Low
$33.93Average
$45High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy OutperformUpgradeJul 10, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $18.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$30$22.5 +61.6%Jul 10, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$28$25.01 +50.8%Apr 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$29$25.92 +56.2%Feb 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$28$24.26 +50.8%Jan 6, 2026
New StreetHamir Patel$28$23.41 +50.8%Dec 12, 2025
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented by additional timberlands in Canada managed under long-term licenses. These extensive holdings are cultivated responsibly, in full compliance with internationally accepted sustainable forestry criteria. Beyond its land stewardship, Weyerhaeuser is also a leading producer of wood-based goods throughout North America. Operating as a real estate investment trust (REIT), the firm achieved net sales of $7.5 billion in 2020. Its approximately 9,400 employees cater to a worldwide customer base, and Weyerhaeuser's commitment to environmental, social, and governance principles is acknowledged by its inclusion in the Dow Jones Sustainability North America Index. The company's common stock is available for trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WY.

Historical context

All WY earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T10:50:44.180994+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T10:50:44.178264+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.