Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company · WTW · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

WTW: 5% Organic Growth, Margin Expansion and AI Investment

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient demand in health benefits and specialty insurance, combined with automation and digital platforms, can support growth and margin expansion. The thesis remains dependent on recurring revenue quality, insurance pricing, geographic trends and cash generation.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $26.80B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.07 Consensus $3.05
EPS surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.29B Consensus $2.27B
Revenue surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.3% Up to 20 sessions
WTWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the supplied prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis puts greater emphasis on Radar 5, Gemini and AI-driven analytics as growth engines, reports stronger quarterly margin expansion, and adds explicit concerns about rate softness, recurring versus one-off specialty revenue and the $1.5 billion buyback target.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance for mid-single-digit organic growth and continued margin expansion; the supplied analysis also says the $1.5 billion 2025 share-repurchase target was reaffirmed.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes 5% organic growth and 230 basis points of adjusted operating-margin expansion to 20.4%.
  • Health, Wealth & Career and Risk & Broking both contributed to growth, while Risk & Broking faced pricing pressure.
  • Radar 5, Gemini and AI-driven analytics were highlighted as core technology and growth initiatives.
  • Management continued to emphasize talent, automation, specialization and disciplined capital allocation.
  • The divestiture of TRANZACT was described as creating an earnings headwind and a cash-flow tailwind.

Management priorities

  • Roll out additional AI-driven analytics tools across segments
  • Expand the Gemini digital placement platform into new markets
  • Pursue margin improvement through automation and right-shoring
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation across buybacks, selective M&A and talent investment
  • Use EU pay-transparency work to deepen advisory services

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WTW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.25 Q1 '24 actual $3.29, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.34 Q2 '24 actual $2.55, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.72 Q3 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.63 Q2 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.05 Q3 '25 actual $3.07, beat Q4 '25 estimate $7.96 Q4 '25 actual $8.12, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.66 Q1 '26 actual $3.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.11 Q2 '26 actual $3.35, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.59 Q4 '26 estimate $9.15 Q1 '27 estimate $4.15
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish1862.1%
Neutral1034.5%
Bearish13.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$288.61Current
$247Low
$342.31Average
$405High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 4, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $288.61. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesYaron Kinar$380$321.97 +31.7%Sep 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$350$327.9 +21.3%Aug 19, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$380$341.09 +31.7%Aug 3, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$405$341.04 +40.3%Aug 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$315$341.39 +9.1%Aug 3, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW) functions as a global provider of comprehensive consulting, brokerage, and solutions services. Its operations are structured across two primary divisions: Health, Wealth and Career, and Risk and Broking. Within the Health, Wealth and Career segment, WTW furnishes actuarial guidance, plan development, and administrative assistance for conventional pension and retirement savings schemes. It also delivers consulting, brokerage, and management services for health and group employee benefit programs, along with outsourced benefits administration. Furthermore, the company offers strategic counsel, analytical data, specialized software, and various products designed to help clients effectively manage their overall compensation and human capital challenges. The Risk and Broking division extends expertise in risk management, insurance placement, and advisory services, covering sectors such as property and casualty, aerospace, construction, and marine.…

Historical context

All WTW earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T05:06:05.447292+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T05:06:05.444089+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.