Wells Fargo & Company · WFC-PA · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Wells Fargo outlines growth investments amid rate and credit risks

Wells Fargo's earnings analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: loan, deposit, and fee growth plus efficiency efforts provide support, but the outlook depends on managing rate-sensitive income, credit risk, and investment spending.

Reported Session unavailableNYSEFinancial Services $209.74B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.62 Consensus $1.66
EPS surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.29B Consensus $21.65B
Revenue surprise -1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

unavailable
Stock move — Event window
SPY move — Same window
Abnormal move — Stock minus SPY
Volume — Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift — Up to 20 sessions
Price and volume data were unavailable at publication time.

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What changed

The company highlighted progress on regulatory remediation, including closure of 13 regulatory orders, and provided a first disclosure of markets-business net-interest-income expectations. It also said 2026 share repurchases would be lower as investment and dividends receive greater emphasis.

Guidance delta

Management maintained a modest 2026 net-interest-income outlook of about $50 billion despite expected rate cuts.

Key takeaways

  • Management described broad-based loan, deposit, and fee-revenue growth and a confident operating tone.
  • The firm is targeting medium-term ROTCE of 17%-18% while reducing 2026 share repurchases after returning $23 billion in 2025.
  • The 2026 plan combines expense discipline with $1.1 billion of technology spending, branch refurbishment, and expansion of markets financing.

Management priorities

  • Maintain expense discipline while increasing technology investment
  • Expand markets financing and continue hiring coverage and investment-banking talent
  • Grow consumer digital accounts and wealth-management relationships

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WFC-PA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 actual $1.28, None Q2 '24 actual $1.41, None Q2 '25 estimate $1.41 Q2 '25 actual $1.68, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.55 Q3 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.66 Q4 '25 actual $1.62, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.58 Q1 '26 actual $1.60, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.72 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.85 Q3 '26 actual $1.87, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.88 Q1 '27 estimate $1.76 Q2 '27 estimate $2.05 Q3 '27 estimate $2.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish2048.8%
Neutral1843.9%
Bearish37.3%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 15, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2023
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2023
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 16, 2023
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2023
Odeon Capital Hold BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2023
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2023
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 10, 2023
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 6, 2023
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 26, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJun 13, 2023
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 16, 2023
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 13, 2023
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 11, 2023
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 4, 2023
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 16, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2022
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJan 17, 2022
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJun 3, 2021
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 18, 2021
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 18, 2021
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 12, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainApr 6, 2020
CFRA Hold SellUpgradeMar 3, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2019
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeOct 14, 2018
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 2, 2018
Berenberg Sell HoldDowngradeJul 20, 2017
Guggenheim Neutral SellUpgradeApr 24, 2017
Rafferty Capital Sell HoldDowngradeApr 11, 2017
Susquehanna Neutral PositiveDowngradeNov 30, 2016
FBR Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 18, 2016
Keefe, Bruyette& Woods Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 16, 2016
Societe Generale Sell HoldDowngradeMar 8, 2015
Miller Tabak Buy HoldUpgradeMar 8, 2015
S&P Capital IQ Hold BuyDowngradeJan 13, 2014
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 13, 2013
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 10, 2013
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 13, 2013
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainJul 12, 2012
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Wells Fargo & Company, a diversified financial services company, provides banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-15. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.