WEC Energy Group, Inc. · WEC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

WEC expands capital plan as data-center demand grows

WEC’s earnings and demand profile support its growth case, but the evidence is conditional: management reported 2025 adjusted EPS at the top of guidance, added capital for data-center demand, and reaffirmed 7–8% long-term EPS CAGR. Regulatory approvals, project delivery, and financing are the key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $32.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.42 Consensus $1.39
EPS surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.54B Consensus $2.14B
Revenue surprise +18.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.4% Up to 20 sessions
WECSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The five-year capital plan increased by $1 billion to $37.5 billion, reflecting 500 MW of additional Microsoft data-center demand and total projected demand of 3.9 GW. Management also highlighted an Illinois settlement, Wisconsin tariff review, and new generation and LNG projects.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed its long-term EPS growth target of 7–8% CAGR.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.27 reached the top of guidance, while the dividend increased to $3.81 per share.
  • The five-year capital plan rose to $37.5 billion after $1 billion of incremental data-center-related capital was added.
  • Management cited 3.9 GW of projected demand and reaffirmed 7–8% long-term EPS CAGR growth.
  • Regulatory and financing execution remain central to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Execute the updated $37.5 billion five-year capital plan.
  • Add 6,500 MW of renewable generation and complete battery-storage projects.
  • Commission the 1,100 MW combustion turbine and 2 BCF LNG facility.
  • Pursue Wisconsin rate reviews and approval of the very-large-customer tariff.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WEC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.92 Q1 '24 actual $1.97, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.64 Q2 '24 actual $0.67, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.70 Q3 '24 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.70 Q2 '25 actual $0.76, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.81 Q3 '25 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.39 Q4 '25 actual $1.42, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.30 Q1 '26 actual $2.45, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.90 Q4 '26 estimate $1.43 Q1 '27 estimate $2.20
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1029.4%
Neutral2058.8%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$100.78Previous close
$95Low
$117.43Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 21, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 6, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJan 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 20, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 31, 2025
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 17, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 31, 2025
Goldman Sachs Sell NeutralDowngradeJun 25, 2025
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainFeb 8, 2024
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 7, 2023
Credit Suisse Underperform UnderperformMaintainNov 3, 2022
Wolfe Research Peer Perform Peer PerformMaintainMay 3, 2022
CFRA Strong Sell Strong SellMaintainMay 5, 2020
Evercore ISI Group In Line UnderperformUpgradeMar 16, 2020
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 16, 2020
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeJun 24, 2019
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainDec 6, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainDec 6, 2018
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainAug 1, 2018
Baird Outperform NeutralUpgradeJul 16, 2015
Gabelli & Co. Buy HoldUpgradeJun 18, 2015
Wunderlich Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2014
Wunderlich Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2014
CRT Capital Hold HoldMaintainJul 21, 2014
ISI Group Neutral CautiousMaintainJun 24, 2014
Edward Jones Hold SellUpgradeJun 23, 2014
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeJul 11, 2013
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 18, 2013
Wellington Shields Buy HoldUpgradeNov 8, 2012
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 1, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $100.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$114$109.68 +13.1%Aug 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$117$112.85 +16.1%Jul 22, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$119$109.16 +18.1%May 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$124$115.22 +23.0%May 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$127$115.14 +26.0%Apr 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$124$115.14 +23.0%Apr 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$117$115.87 +16.1%Apr 20, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$121$111.92 +20.1%Feb 6, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$121$111.94 +20.1%Feb 6, 2026
BTIGAlex Kania$135$110.41 +34.0%Jan 30, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$127$108.45 +26.0%Jan 23, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$117$108.59 +16.1%Jan 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$116$106.09 +15.1%Dec 31, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$115$104.48 +14.1%Dec 17, 2025
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$105$105.28 +4.2%Dec 16, 2025
KeyBancSophie Karp$117$103.48 +16.1%Dec 12, 2025
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$130$112.18 +29.0%Oct 31, 2025
RBC CapitalStephen D'Ambrisi$131$116.68 +30.0%Oct 27, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$124$116.68 +23.0%Oct 27, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$125$116.01 +24.0%Oct 27, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$136$116.58 +34.9%Oct 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$110$117.5 +9.1%Oct 21, 2025
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$120$117.5 +19.1%Oct 21, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$123$116.49 +22.0%Oct 15, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$122$113.88 +21.1%Oct 10, 2025
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$129$113.29 +28.0%Oct 6, 2025
UBSNeil Kalton$107$105.51 +6.2%Jul 11, 2025
ScotiabankAndrew Weisel$115$109.76 +14.1%May 7, 2025
KeyBancSophie Karp$108$98.98 +7.2%Oct 22, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$93$92.96 -7.7%Aug 23, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$86$88.19 -14.7%Aug 6, 2024
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$87$81.62 -13.7%Jul 22, 2024
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$80$81.55 -20.6%Jul 22, 2024
KeyBancSophie Karp$96$80.44 -4.7%Apr 19, 2024
RBC CapitalShelby Tucker$95$80.57 -5.7%Sep 27, 2023
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$98$89.27 -2.8%May 18, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$106$92.84 +5.2%Feb 3, 2023
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$100$96.06 -0.8%Dec 5, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$93$89.49 -7.7%Jun 17, 2022
BarclaysEric Beaumont$108$92.05 +7.2%Jun 15, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$111$99.73 +10.1%May 3, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$108$102.91 +7.2%Apr 26, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

WEC Energy Group, Inc. is a major energy provider operating across the United States, delivering regulated natural gas and electricity, as well as both regulated and non-regulated renewable energy services. The company's operations are divided into six main business segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. Its electricity generation relies on a diverse portfolio of sources, including coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Beyond power generation, WEC Energy Group also provides electric transmission services, manages retail natural gas distribution, handles natural gas transportation, and is involved in the production, distribution, and sale of steam.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T08:36:06.084718+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T08:36:06.079125+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.