WEC Energy Group, Inc. · WEC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

WEC expands capital plan as data-center demand grows

WEC’s earnings and demand profile support its growth case, but the evidence is conditional: management reported 2025 adjusted EPS at the top of guidance, added capital for data-center demand, and reaffirmed 7–8% long-term EPS CAGR. Regulatory approvals, project delivery, and financing are the key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $32.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.42 Consensus $1.39
EPS surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.54B Consensus $2.14B
Revenue surprise +18.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.2% Event window
SPY move -1.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.4% Up to 20 sessions
WECSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The five-year capital plan increased by $1 billion to $37.5 billion, reflecting 500 MW of additional Microsoft data-center demand and total projected demand of 3.9 GW. Management also highlighted an Illinois settlement, Wisconsin tariff review, and new generation and LNG projects.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed its long-term EPS growth target of 7–8% CAGR.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.27 reached the top of guidance, while the dividend increased to $3.81 per share.
  • The five-year capital plan rose to $37.5 billion after $1 billion of incremental data-center-related capital was added.
  • Management cited 3.9 GW of projected demand and reaffirmed 7–8% long-term EPS CAGR growth.
  • Regulatory and financing execution remain central to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Execute the updated $37.5 billion five-year capital plan.
  • Add 6,500 MW of renewable generation and complete battery-storage projects.
  • Commission the 1,100 MW combustion turbine and 2 BCF LNG facility.
  • Pursue Wisconsin rate reviews and approval of the very-large-customer tariff.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WEC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1029.4%
Neutral2058.8%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$100.78Previous close
$95Low
$117.43Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $100.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$114$109.68 +13.1%Aug 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$117$112.85 +16.1%Jul 22, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$119$109.16 +18.1%May 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$124$115.22 +23.0%May 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$127$115.14 +26.0%Apr 21, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

WEC Energy Group, Inc. is a major energy provider operating across the United States, delivering regulated natural gas and electricity, as well as both regulated and non-regulated renewable energy services. The company's operations are divided into six main business segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. Its electricity generation relies on a diverse portfolio of sources, including coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Beyond power generation, WEC Energy Group also provides electric transmission services, manages retail natural gas distribution, handles natural gas transportation, and is involved in the production, distribution, and sale of steam.…

Historical context

All WEC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T08:36:06.084718+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T08:36:06.079125+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.