WEC Energy Group, Inc. · WEC · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

WEC Energy: Demand Growth Supports Larger Capital Plan, Risks Remain

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient regional demand, especially from data centers, supports growth investment and maintained guidance, but the thesis depends on regulatory progress, project execution and financing.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $33.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.83 Consensus $0.81
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.10B Consensus $1.89B
Revenue surprise +11.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.7% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.5% Up to 20 sessions
WECSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management's plan is larger and more explicit: the five-year capital program increased to $36.5 billion, with additional emphasis on serving data-center load, transmission and an all-of-the-above generation mix. The core demand narrative remained intact, while financing and execution became more prominent considerations.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance despite normal-weather assumptions.
  • The five-year capital plan increased to $36.5 billion, focused on generation, renewables, battery storage and transmission.
  • Data-center expansion and other large-load customers are the main stated drivers of projected demand growth.
  • Regulatory approvals, project execution and financing remain the key constraints to monitor.
  • The current quarter adds to the prior quarter's demand and investment thesis, while making capital needs and execution more central.

Management priorities

  • Execute the five-year capital plan across gas generation, renewables, battery storage and transmission.
  • Serve projected large-load growth from data centers and commercial and industrial customers.
  • Advance the Wisconsin very large customer tariff and Illinois pipe-retirement program.
  • Maintain a financing mix that supports the expanded investment plan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WEC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3B Q4 '23 actual $2B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1029.4%
Neutral2058.8%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$101.3Previous close
$95Low
$117.43Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $101.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$114$109.68 +12.5%Aug 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$117$112.85 +15.5%Jul 22, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$119$109.16 +17.5%May 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$124$115.22 +22.4%May 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$127$115.14 +25.4%Apr 21, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

WEC Energy Group, Inc. is a major energy provider operating across the United States, delivering regulated natural gas and electricity, as well as both regulated and non-regulated renewable energy services. The company's operations are divided into six main business segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. Its electricity generation relies on a diverse portfolio of sources, including coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Beyond power generation, WEC Energy Group also provides electric transmission services, manages retail natural gas distribution, handles natural gas transportation, and is involved in the production, distribution, and sale of steam.…

Historical context

All WEC earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T10:40:43.947443+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T10:40:43.944594+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.