WEC Energy Group, Inc. · WEC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

WEC reaffirms EPS outlook as data-center demand drives investment

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient regional demand, especially from data centers and industrial development, is underpinning a large infrastructure investment program while management maintains its EPS outlook. The thesis depends on timely capacity additions, regulatory progress, and disciplined execution.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $33.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.76 Consensus $0.70
EPS surprise +7.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.01B Consensus $1.77B
Revenue surprise +13.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.2% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.6% Up to 20 sessions
WECSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, WEC added detail on 1,100 MW of planned Oak Creek gas turbines, a $456 million LNG storage facility, battery deployment, and the extension of Oak Creek coal units through 2026. Management also reported that about half of renewable projects were already safe-harbored under the OBBB order, while a Texas solar storm loss was recorded because insurance recovery was not assured.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 2025 EPS guidance of $5.17-$5.27.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed 2025 EPS guidance and highlighted continued regional economic development.
  • The $28 billion five-year plan adds gas turbines, LNG storage, battery storage, and renewable projects.
  • Data-center and manufacturing growth are supporting demand along the Milwaukee-Chicago corridor.
  • Oak Creek coal units were extended through 2026 to support near-term reliability.

Management priorities

  • Expand generation and storage capacity for load growth.
  • Advance the $28 billion capital plan, including gas turbines, LNG, batteries, and renewables.
  • Secure safe-harbor qualification for remaining renewable projects.
  • Progress the very-large-customer tariff and other regulatory proceedings.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WEC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.92 Q1 '24 actual $1.97, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.64 Q2 '24 actual $0.67, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.70 Q3 '24 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.70 Q2 '25 actual $0.76, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.81 Q3 '25 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.39 Q4 '25 actual $1.42, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.30 Q1 '26 actual $2.45, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.80 Q2 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.94 Q4 '26 estimate $1.43 Q1 '27 estimate $2.20
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1029.4%
Neutral2058.8%
Bearish411.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$103.74Current
$95Low
$117.43Average
$136High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 16, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $103.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$114$109.68 +9.9%Aug 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$117$112.85 +12.8%Jul 22, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$119$109.16 +14.7%May 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$124$115.22 +19.5%May 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$127$115.14 +22.4%Apr 21, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

WEC Energy Group, Inc. is a major energy provider operating across the United States, delivering regulated natural gas and electricity, as well as both regulated and non-regulated renewable energy services. The company's operations are divided into six main business segments: Wisconsin, Illinois, Other States, Electric Transmission, Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure, and Corporate and Other. Its electricity generation relies on a diverse portfolio of sources, including coal, natural gas, oil, hydroelectric, wind, solar, and biomass. Beyond power generation, WEC Energy Group also provides electric transmission services, manages retail natural gas distribution, handles natural gas transportation, and is involved in the production, distribution, and sale of steam.…

Historical context

All WEC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T20:20:43.038911+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T20:20:43.036092+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.