Woodside Energy Group Ltd · WDS · FY2022 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2023

Woodside: Strong cash generation, but capex and execution remain key

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong cash generation, post-merger scale and LNG exposure can fund shareholder returns and growth projects, but the case depends on project delivery, safety improvement, regulatory progress and commodity prices.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $41.88B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.03 Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.56B Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.6% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.6% Up to 20 sessions
WDSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes record 2022 earnings and free cash flow, realized merger synergies, progress on Sangomar and Scarborough, and expanded new-energy plans. Relative to the prior analysis, the focus shifts from planned spending and integration to execution, regulatory requirements and the sustainability of shareholder returns alongside higher capex.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained; the supplied analysis does not provide a quantitative guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record 2022 profit and free cash flow, supported by higher LNG prices, BHP asset synergies and trading.
  • The company maintained an 80% dividend payout while funding Scarborough, Sangomar and other projects.
  • Sangomar and Scarborough execution, safety improvement and regulatory timing are central to the outlook.
  • New-energy plans include Trion, H2OK hydrogen and broader decarbonisation initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Deliver Sangomar and advance Scarborough and Trion.
  • Seek final investment decisions for Trion and H2OK.
  • Improve safety performance and continue decarbonisation initiatives.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation and protect investment-grade credit quality.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WDS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $-0.03, None Q2 '24 actual $0.68, None Q2 '25 estimate $0.69 Q2 '25 actual $0.69, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.70 Q4 '25 actual $0.74, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.78 Q2 '26 actual $0.88, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.00 Q2 '27 estimate $1.26 Q4 '27 estimate $1.07 Q2 '28 estimate $0.92

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold2 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral2100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$23.66Current
$23.21Low
$25.61Average
$28High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral SellUpgradeFeb 25, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 20, 2024

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $23.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
NeedhamCameron Needham$23.21$23.07 -1.9%Aug 11, 2026
BernsteinNeil Beveridge$28$17.7 +18.3%Aug 20, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is an international energy company involved in the full spectrum of hydrocarbon operations. This includes the exploration, evaluation, development, extraction, marketing, and distribution of resources across various global regions, such as Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa, and beyond. The company's output comprises a range of vital energy commodities: liquefied natural gas (LNG), pipeline natural gas, condensate, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and crude oil. Woodside maintains stakes in numerous key projects, including Greater Browse, Greater Sunrise, Greater Pluto, Greater Exmouth, North West Shelf, Wheatstone, Julimar-Brunello, specific ventures in Canada and Senegal, Greater Scarborough, and Myanmar. Founded in 1954, the company operated as Woodside Petroleum Ltd until its rebranding to Woodside Energy Group Ltd in May 2022. Its corporate base is situated in Perth, Australia.

Historical context

All WDS earnings

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VLO Valero Energy Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.9% -2.4% Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T22:30:42.965462+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T22:30:42.962802+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.