Workday, Inc. · WDAY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Workday: AI Adoption Supports Growth as Guidance Holds

The latest results support a constructive but conditional view of Workday's growth narrative: AI adoption, cross-sell, international expansion, and acquisitions are supporting momentum, while reaffirmed guidance and the reported earnings beat add evidence for durability. The negative market reaction and the listed execution concerns show that sustained demand, integration, and margin delivery still need to be demonstrated.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $49.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.32 Consensus $2.17
EPS surprise +6.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.43B Consensus $2.42B
Revenue surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.9% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -8.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.5% Up to 20 sessions
WDAYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, subscription growth increased from 14% to 15%, AI activity broadened, and Sana and Pipedream joined Paradox in the acquisition-integration effort. The company moved from raising FY2026 subscription-revenue guidance in the prior quarter to reaffirming Q4 and FY2026 growth guidance in the latest analysis.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook: Q4 subscription growth of 15% and FY2026 revenue growth of 14% were reaffirmed, versus the prior quarter's raised FY2026 subscription-revenue guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Subscription revenue grew 15% year over year, with AI-enabled products contributing about 1.5 points of ARR growth.
  • More than 1 billion AI actions were executed year to date, while cross-sell and international expansion remained important growth drivers.
  • Sana, Paradox, and Pipedream are being integrated; management said the acquisitions are expected to add about 1 point of growth each quarter.
  • The latest quarter was constructive, but the outlook still depends on sustained AI adoption and customer spending.
  • The market's reaction was negative despite the reported beat: the stock's event-to-next-session move was -7.85% relative to the benchmark.

Management priorities

  • Launch an AI deployment agent intended to reduce implementation time by up to 25% and introduce flex credits for AI adoption early next year.
  • Roll out the EU sovereign cloud and AI Center of Excellence in Dublin, while expanding in the Middle East and India.
  • Complete the first phase of the DIA contract and pursue follow-on opportunities.
  • Continue integrating Sana, Paradox, and Pipedream while expanding Workday Go and full-suite adoption.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WDAY REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $2B Q4 '24 actual $2B, miss Q1 '25 estimate $2B Q1 '25 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 actual $3B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3B Q1 '27 actual $3B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q2 '27 actual $3B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold78 ratings
Bullish3950.0%
Neutral3646.2%
Bearish33.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$189.17Current
$125Low
$224.26Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 31, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 28, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainAug 28, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Show 74 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $189.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$164$198.08 -13.3%Aug 31, 2026
JefferiesBrent Thill$220$194.31 +16.3%Aug 28, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$190$194.37 +0.4%Aug 28, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$230$195.42 +21.6%Aug 28, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$205$194.7 +8.4%Aug 28, 2026
See 167 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Workday, Inc. delivers comprehensive, cloud-hosted enterprise software solutions to clients worldwide. These platforms empower organizations to strategize, operate, examine performance, integrate with existing systems, and oversee their overall business functions. A core offering includes a robust suite of financial management tools. These are designed to assist Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) in meticulously maintaining general ledger accounting data, streamlining financial workflows, gaining instant insights into financial and operational metrics, optimizing consolidation, accelerating month-end closes, bolstering internal controls and audit readiness, and ensuring uniformity throughout their financial activities. Workday also provides cloud-based spend management solutions. These facilitate smoother supplier engagement and contract administration, optimize the handling of indirect expenditures, and enable the effective execution of sourcing initiatives, including requests for proposals (RFPs).…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T19:21:03.885597+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T19:21:03.882712+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.