Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. · WBD · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

WBD’s streaming turnaround strengthens, but execution risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: streaming momentum, global distribution, and a strong content pipeline improve the growth case, while studio execution, linear advertising pressure, and transaction uncertainty limit confidence in its durability.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $77.22B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.06 Consensus $-0.14
EPS surprise +142.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.72B Consensus $9.25B
Revenue surprise -5.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.7% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.5% Up to 20 sessions
WBDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter’s analysis emphasized that streaming revenue exceeded $3 billion for the first time and that management remains focused on a large film, series, and gaming pipeline. Compared with the prior quarter, the central narrative shifted toward demonstrating streaming profitability and executing the planned slate, while the Paramount Skydance transaction remained a key strategic dependency.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management continued to express confidence in the existing studio EBITDA objective and broader strategy.

Key takeaways

  • HBO Max surpassed $3 billion in streaming revenue for the first time, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Management highlighted global distribution growth through bundles and a broad upcoming content slate.
  • The company reiterated confidence in its $3 billion adjusted EBITDA studio target.
  • Linear advertising weakness and the pending Paramount Skydance transaction remain important swing factors.

Management priorities

  • Expand HBO Max internationally and through distribution bundles.
  • Deliver the planned film, series, and gaming pipeline.
  • Build streaming profitability while pursuing the studio EBITDA objective.
  • Complete the Paramount Skydance transaction.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WBD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $-0.20 Q1 '24 actual $-0.40, miss Q2 '24 estimate $-0.26 Q2 '24 actual $-4.07, miss Q3 '24 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '24 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $-0.24 Q2 '25 actual $0.63, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.07 Q3 '25 actual $-0.06, match Q4 '25 estimate $-0.03 Q4 '25 actual $-0.10, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.11 Q1 '26 actual $-1.17, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-0.14 Q2 '26 actual $0.06, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-0.02 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.05 Q1 '27 estimate $0.05
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1238.7%
Neutral1858.1%
Bearish13.2%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$30.8Current
$5Low
$20.39Average
$40High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 27, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Guggenheim Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainMar 10, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainFeb 27, 2026
Raymond James Underperform OutperformDowngradeFeb 27, 2026
Benchmark Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 27, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 25, 2026
Barrington Research Market Perform OutperformDowngradeDec 5, 2025
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 7, 2025
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 30, 2025
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeOct 28, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 30, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2025
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeSep 26, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2025
Needham Hold HoldMaintainSep 12, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 9, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 29, 2025
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 7, 2025
MoffettNathanson Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 21, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 14, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform UnderperformUpgradeNov 11, 2024
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 8, 2024
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 8, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 8, 2024
Redburn Atlantic Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 11, 2024
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 6, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 8, 2023
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 24, 2023
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 7, 2022
Cowen & Co. Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMay 12, 2022
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $30.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$31$26.74 +0.6%Jun 29, 2026
UBSJohn Hodulik$31$27.12 +0.6%May 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$31$27.75 +0.6%Mar 9, 2026
MoffettNathansonRobert Fishman$31$27.82 +0.6%Mar 6, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$31$27.99 +0.6%Feb 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$30$28.02 -2.6%Jan 28, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$32$28.78 +3.9%Jan 15, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$30$28.86 -2.6%Jan 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$29$28.21 -5.9%Dec 18, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$29.5$27.8 -4.2%Dec 8, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$28$26.08 -9.1%Dec 8, 2025
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$28$21.34 -9.1%Oct 30, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$27$21.16 -12.4%Oct 28, 2025
BarringtonAnalyst unavailable$25$21.14 -18.8%Oct 28, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$21$18.45 -31.8%Oct 16, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$22$18.6 -28.6%Oct 8, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$20$18.6 -35.1%Oct 8, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$20$18.99 -35.1%Oct 6, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$22$19.35 -28.6%Oct 2, 2025
Morgan StanleyBenjamin Swinburne$15$19.84 -51.3%Sep 25, 2025
BernsteinLaurent Yoon$16$19.33 -48.1%Sep 22, 2025
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$13$8.02 -57.8%Apr 14, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$12$11.46 -61.0%Feb 28, 2025
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$7.67$3.49 -75.1%Aug 8, 2024
Morgan StanleyBenjamin Swinburne$9$8.31 -70.8%Jul 29, 2024
MacquarieTim Nollen$9$8.47 -70.8%Jul 25, 2024
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$8.5$7.31 -72.4%Jun 25, 2024
Seaport GlobalDavid Joyce$8.18$4.35 -73.4%May 13, 2024
Fox AdvisorsJessica Reif Ehrlich$14$8.16 -54.6%May 10, 2024
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$11$8.04 -64.3%May 10, 2024
Raymond JamesRic Prentiss$13$8.04 -57.8%May 9, 2024
CFRAKenneth Leon$9$8.48 -70.8%Apr 2, 2024
CFRAKenneth Leon$10$8.74 -67.5%Mar 20, 2024
WedbushMichael Pachter$5$8.79 -83.8%Feb 29, 2024
CFRAKenneth LeonKenneth Leon$14$10.46 -54.6%Feb 1, 2024
MacquarieTim Nollen$20$11.44 -35.1%Sep 6, 2023
Credit SuisseDouglas Mitchelson$16.35$7.14 -46.9%Aug 4, 2023
BarringtonJames Goss$18$12.19 -41.6%May 16, 2023
Credit SuisseDouglas Mitchelson$18.4$6.88 -40.3%May 8, 2023
Truist FinancialMatthew Thorton$19$15.26 -38.3%Apr 10, 2023
Wolfe ResearchPeter Supino$20$14.34 -35.1%Mar 17, 2023
MacquarieAnalyst unavailable$16$9.54 -48.1%Jan 4, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$14$11.43 -54.6%Dec 2, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$15$12.91 -51.3%Aug 23, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$17$17.48 -44.8%Aug 5, 2022
Goldman SachsBrett Feldman$22$15 -28.6%Jul 30, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$18$14.16 -41.6%Jul 18, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$19$13.61 -38.3%Jul 14, 2022
New StreetJessica Reif Ehrlich$23$9.01 -25.3%Jun 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyBenjamin Swinburne$27$18.15 -12.4%Apr 28, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesBarton Crockett$18$18.32 -41.6%Apr 28, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$24$18.96 -22.1%Apr 27, 2022
Rosenblatt SecuritiesBarton Crockett$20$20.57 -35.1%Apr 22, 2022
Evercore ISIVijay Jayant$40$26 +29.8%Apr 13, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates as a prominent global media and entertainment conglomerate. Its operations are structured across three key divisions: Studios, Network, and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC). The Studios segment is responsible for the creation and theatrical release of feature films. It also develops and licenses television programming, serving both its internal network infrastructure and external partners, including direct-to-consumer platforms. Further, this segment manages the distribution of its film and television catalog to various third-party outlets and its proprietary television channels. Additionally, it encompasses streaming services, home entertainment distribution, licensing for themed attractions, and the creation of interactive games. The Network division oversees a comprehensive portfolio of television channels, both domestically and internationally.…

Historical context

All WBD earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T15:16:00.574045+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T15:30:54.706810+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T15:30:54.703570+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.