Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation · WAB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

WAB pairs strong Q4 momentum with raised 2026 outlook

WAB’s strong Q4 results, record backlog, acquisition-led digital growth, and raised 2026 outlook support a constructive operating trajectory. The main counterweights are tariff exposure, softer North American railcar builds, modernization timing, and potential mix pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $49.40B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.10 Consensus $2.08
EPS surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.96B Consensus $2.87B
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.2% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.5% Up to 20 sessions
WABSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of broad operating momentum: sales and adjusted EPS grew strongly, backlog exceeded $27 billion, guidance was raised, and management highlighted the EVO modernization launch plus recent acquisition integration. Tariffs and railcar-build weakness remain explicit offsets.

Guidance delta

2026 guidance was raised; management’s outlook calls for 10.5% revenue growth and 14% EPS growth despite tariff headwinds and softer North American railcar builds.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 sales grew 15% year over year and adjusted EPS increased 25%.
  • Backlog exceeded $27 billion, supporting visibility into 2026 revenue.
  • Recent acquisitions are expanding digital intelligence and sensor offerings.
  • The EVO modernization program is planned for 2026 fleet-renewal demand.
  • Management emphasized cash conversion, selective growth investment, and integration savings.

Management priorities

  • Launch the EVO modernization program in 2026.
  • Integrate Frauzer, Downer, Inspection Technologies, and other recent acquisitions.
  • Expand digital intelligence and PTC/Kinetics deployments globally.
  • Invest selectively in growth capex while maintaining cash-conversion discipline.
  • Continue cost savings through Integration 3.0 and portfolio optimization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WAB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.49 Q1 '24 actual $1.89, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.88 Q2 '24 actual $1.96, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.90 Q3 '24 actual $2.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.17 Q2 '25 actual $1.96, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.28 Q3 '25 actual $2.32, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.08 Q4 '25 actual $2.10, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.51 Q1 '26 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.60 Q2 '26 actual $2.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.73 Q4 '26 estimate $2.64 Q1 '27 estimate $2.93 Q2 '27 estimate $3.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2060.6%
Neutral1236.4%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$291.07Current
$103Low
$252.5Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 23, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 26, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJan 8, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 13, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 24, 2025
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainApr 25, 2024
Redburn Atlantic Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 15, 2024
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJan 11, 2024
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2023
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 16, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 15, 2020
Buckingham Research Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 18, 2019
Buckingham Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 18, 2019
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 16, 2019
Citi Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 10, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJul 25, 2018
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 25, 2018
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 29, 2018
Wellington Shields Hold Gradually AccumulateDowngradeMay 16, 2018
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeMay 14, 2018
Seaport Global Buy BuyMaintainJan 4, 2018
Edward Jones Hold BuyDowngradeJul 26, 2017
William Blair Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 21, 2016
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 25, 2016
CLSA Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2016
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2014
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 5, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $291.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensJustin Long$330$289.98 +13.4%Jul 23, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$340$289.98 +16.8%Jul 23, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$340$289.98 +16.8%Jul 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$355$289.98 +22.0%Jul 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$318$266.64 +9.3%Apr 27, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$303$268.82 +4.1%Apr 23, 2026
SusquehannaBascome Majors$305$261.47 +4.8%Apr 23, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$291$261.47 -0.0%Apr 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$315$258.8 +8.2%Feb 17, 2026
SusquehannaBascome Majors$300$261.15 +3.1%Feb 12, 2026
KeyBancSteve Barger$308$254.42 +5.8%Feb 12, 2026
SusquehannaBascome Majors$280$232.6 -3.8%Jan 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAngel Castillo$264$224.9 -9.3%Jan 12, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$245$216.62 -15.8%Jan 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$221$204.27 -24.1%Nov 13, 2025
SusquehannaBascome Majors$240$195.71 -17.5%Oct 23, 2025
KeyBancSteve Barger$240$205.87 -17.5%Jun 24, 2025
StephensJustin Long$205$187.34 -29.6%Oct 24, 2024
SusquehannaBascome Majors$220$191.15 -24.4%Oct 21, 2024
KeyBancSteve Barger$185$163.38 -36.4%Apr 25, 2024
StephensJustin Long$180$163.38 -38.2%Apr 25, 2024
JefferiesSaree Boroditsky$150$126.99 -48.5%Jan 11, 2024
Raymond JamesRaymond James Raymond James$115$100.19 -60.5%Dec 16, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$106$103.86 -63.6%Dec 14, 2022
Raymond JamesFelix Boeschen$103$94.83 -64.6%Aug 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$87$93.49 -70.1%Aug 8, 2022
StephensAnalyst unavailable$110$94.42 -62.2%Aug 8, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$84$83.45 -71.1%Jul 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$113$91.59 -61.2%May 2, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) delivers a comprehensive suite of advanced technological solutions, equipment, and services tailored for the global freight railway and urban mass transit sectors. Its operations are bifurcated into two principal divisions: Freight and Transit. The Freight segment develops, produces, and maintains critical components for both newly manufactured and operational freight carriages and locomotives. This includes constructing brand-new commuter-focused locomotives, undertaking comprehensive rebuilding of freight locomotives, and delivering sophisticated railway electronic systems, positive train control (PTC) technology, signal design expertise, and related engineering provisions. This segment also furnishes essential heat exchange and cooling apparatus. Its clientele encompasses major publicly listed railway operators, equipment leasing firms, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) of locomotives and freight cars, and various utility companies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T12:51:01.037592+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T12:51:01.034780+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.