Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation · WAB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

WAB pairs strong Q4 momentum with raised 2026 outlook

WAB’s strong Q4 results, record backlog, acquisition-led digital growth, and raised 2026 outlook support a constructive operating trajectory. The main counterweights are tariff exposure, softer North American railcar builds, modernization timing, and potential mix pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $49.40B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.10 Consensus $2.08
EPS surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.96B Consensus $2.87B
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.2% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +3.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.5% Up to 20 sessions
WABSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of broad operating momentum: sales and adjusted EPS grew strongly, backlog exceeded $27 billion, guidance was raised, and management highlighted the EVO modernization launch plus recent acquisition integration. Tariffs and railcar-build weakness remain explicit offsets.

Guidance delta

2026 guidance was raised; management’s outlook calls for 10.5% revenue growth and 14% EPS growth despite tariff headwinds and softer North American railcar builds.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 sales grew 15% year over year and adjusted EPS increased 25%.
  • Backlog exceeded $27 billion, supporting visibility into 2026 revenue.
  • Recent acquisitions are expanding digital intelligence and sensor offerings.
  • The EVO modernization program is planned for 2026 fleet-renewal demand.
  • Management emphasized cash conversion, selective growth investment, and integration savings.

Management priorities

  • Launch the EVO modernization program in 2026.
  • Integrate Frauzer, Downer, Inspection Technologies, and other recent acquisitions.
  • Expand digital intelligence and PTC/Kinetics deployments globally.
  • Invest selectively in growth capex while maintaining cash-conversion discipline.
  • Continue cost savings through Integration 3.0 and portfolio optimization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
WAB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.49 Q1 '24 actual $1.89, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.88 Q2 '24 actual $1.96, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.90 Q3 '24 actual $2.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.17 Q2 '25 actual $1.96, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.28 Q3 '25 actual $2.32, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.08 Q4 '25 actual $2.10, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.51 Q1 '26 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.60 Q2 '26 actual $2.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.73 Q4 '26 estimate $2.64 Q1 '27 estimate $2.93 Q2 '27 estimate $3.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy33 ratings
Bullish2060.6%
Neutral1236.4%
Bearish13.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$291.26Current
$103Low
$252.5Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 23, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $291.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensJustin Long$330$289.98 +13.3%Jul 23, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$340$289.98 +16.7%Jul 23, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$340$289.98 +16.7%Jul 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$355$289.98 +21.9%Jul 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$318$266.64 +9.2%Apr 27, 2026
See 24 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB) delivers a comprehensive suite of advanced technological solutions, equipment, and services tailored for the global freight railway and urban mass transit sectors. Its operations are bifurcated into two principal divisions: Freight and Transit. The Freight segment develops, produces, and maintains critical components for both newly manufactured and operational freight carriages and locomotives. This includes constructing brand-new commuter-focused locomotives, undertaking comprehensive rebuilding of freight locomotives, and delivering sophisticated railway electronic systems, positive train control (PTC) technology, signal design expertise, and related engineering provisions. This segment also furnishes essential heat exchange and cooling apparatus. Its clientele encompasses major publicly listed railway operators, equipment leasing firms, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) of locomotives and freight cars, and various utility companies.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T12:51:01.037592+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T12:51:01.034780+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.