FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Valero Energy Corporation earnings overview

Latest Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) earnings intelligence, including the newest scorecard, market reaction, and transcript analysis.

Next reportValero Energy Corporation reports Thursday, Feb 4, 2027 · Before market openConsensus EPS $19.41 · consensus revenue $41.60B
VLO FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Valero Energy Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive near-term operating case: management reported strong demand, refining advantages and cash generation. The evidence is less conclusive for a durable multi-year trajectory because margins, repairs and turnaround execution remain important swing factors.

EPS surprise+12.9%
Market move-2.4%
VLO FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Valero Energy Corporation

The supplied data supports a measured conclusion: Valero’s Q2 reported results exceeded consensus, but the missing current-quarter transcript analysis prevents a firm assessment of whether earnings strength and demand are durable over the next year.

EPS surprise+24.0%
Market move+3.4%
VLO FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero delivered a decisive Q1 2026 earnings beat, with EPS of $4.22 versus $3.16 estimated (33.5% surprise) and revenue of $32.4B versus $31.4B estimated (3.2% surprise). The quarter was driven by strong Gulf Coast refining margins, discounted heavy sour crude feedstock, and record jet fuel yields. However, a fire at the Port Arthur refinery introduces near-term throughput and capex uncertainty. The stock's market reaction was muted — an abnormal decline of 0.49% against a rising benchmark, with a subsequent 3.1% drift lower — suggesting investors are weighing operational disruptions against the strong results.

EPS surprise+33.5%
Market move+0.5%
VLO FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Valero Energy Corporation

The call supports a constructive operating picture: record throughput and ethanol production, tight supply conditions and operational improvements underpin the outlook. The case remains conditional on refining margins, renewable-fuel policy and execution of planned projects and shutdowns.

EPS surprise+16.8%
Market move-0.8%
VLO FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Valero Energy Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive near-term operating case for Valero: refining and ethanol strength, tight fuel inventories and shareholder returns outweighed renewable diesel weakness. The durability of that case depends on margins, crude differentials, policy support and execution of planned projects and the Benicia closure.

EPS surprise+20.0%
Market move+7.0%
VLO FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Valero Energy Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: strong refining throughput, diesel demand and cash flow offset renewable diesel losses and shutdown execution risks.

EPS surprise+30.3%
Market move-4.9%
VLO FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero's operating flexibility, optimization projects, and shareholder-return policy offer support, but the supplied analysis does not establish a near-term earnings recovery: refining margins, maintenance, West Coast assets, and renewable diesel policy remain material constraints.

EPS surprise—
Market move-1.0%
VLO FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero’s earnings narrative combines near-term margin pressure with operational flexibility, renewable-fuels execution, and shareholder-return capacity. The case depends on improving product balances and successful project execution, while tariff, policy, and utilization risks remain material.

EPS surprise—
Market move-2.9%
VLO FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero's near-term earnings remain exposed to refining-margin weakness, but resilient cash generation, shareholder returns and progress in low-carbon fuels provide support if demand and supply balances improve.

EPS surprise+16.3%
Market move-1.2%

Get the VLO recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.