Venture Global, Inc. · VG · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Venture Global pairs strong LNG growth with execution risks

The call supports a constructive operating picture: rising LNG output, new contracts, and expansion plans improve growth visibility. The counterweight is execution and funding risk as the company scales projects and resolves arbitration.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $31.18B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.41 Consensus $0.35
EPS surprise +18.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.45B Consensus $4.44B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +17.4% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +17.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +48.4% Up to 20 sessions
VGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The company highlighted commercial operations at Calcasieu Pass, continued Plaquemines commissioning, additional long-term contracts, and a larger expansion program. The discussion also clarified that upcoming capex is expected to rely on project-level financing and retained earnings.

Guidance delta

Management guidance was maintained; no change to the stated outlook was indicated.

Key takeaways

  • Management described a strong 2025 driven by Calcasieu Pass and the ramp-up of Plaquemines.
  • New long-term contracts and contracted capacity support visibility, while expansion plans increase execution demands.
  • The financing plan emphasizes project-level loans and retained earnings rather than additional parent equity.

Management priorities

  • Ramp Plaquemines and complete CP2 Phase 2.
  • Secure additional long-term and mid-term LNG contracts.
  • Advance capacity expansions, shipping additions, regulatory approvals, and arbitration resolution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
VG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $0.18 Q2 '25 actual $0.14, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.23 Q3 '25 actual $0.16, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.35 Q4 '25 actual $0.41, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.13 Q1 '26 actual $0.19, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.48 Q2 '26 actual $0.51, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.57 Q4 '26 estimate $0.45 Q1 '27 estimate $0.32 Q2 '27 estimate $0.27

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy30 ratings
Bullish1756.7%
Neutral1240.0%
Bearish13.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$13.13Current
$8Low
$14.38Average
$22High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 22, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeJun 4, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $13.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$15$13.22 +14.2%Aug 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesRobert Mosca$15$14.06 +14.2%Jul 22, 2026
BernsteinSunaina Ocalan$14$11.09 +6.6%Jun 16, 2026
US Capital AdvisorsAnalyst unavailable$13$12.23 -1.0%May 29, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$16$14.59 +21.9%May 20, 2026
See 25 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the U.S. Gulf Coast. The company is involved in LNG production, natural gas transportation, and regasification operations, as well as LNG sales and shipping business through LNG tankers. Its LNG projects include Calcasieu, Plaquemines, and CP2 projects. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.

Historical context

All VG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T20:36:13.043333+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T20:36:13.040621+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.