Texas Instruments Incorporated · TXN · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Texas Instruments: Strong demand, higher capacity investment, guidance maintained

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong industrial and data-center demand, margin improvement, and capacity expansion support continued growth, while automotive exposure, inventory, pricing, acquisition integration, and capital intensity remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $248.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.68 Consensus $1.36
EPS surprise +23.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.83B Consensus $4.53B
Revenue surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +19.4% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +19.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.7% Up to 20 sessions
TXNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current call adds stronger reported demand and margin momentum, a planned Silicon Labs acquisition, and a continued focus on capacity and assembly/test investment. Guidance remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Management reaffirmed Q2 revenue and EPS guidance; the supplied analysis characterizes guidance sentiment as maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong industrial and data-center demand and a 19% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026.
  • Gross margin improved despite volume growth, while Q2 guidance was reaffirmed.
  • The company is increasing capacity investment and expanding its embedded wireless portfolio through the planned Silicon Labs acquisition.

Management priorities

  • Complete the Silicon Labs acquisition in 2027.
  • Invest $2-$3 billion in 2026 capex, emphasizing capacity and assembly/test expansion.
  • Ramp the Sherman 300-mm fab and increase R&D spending on data-center power and GaN technologies.
  • Target $8 of free cash flow per share for 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TXN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.47 Q4 '23 actual $1.49, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.07 Q1 '24 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.17 Q2 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.38 Q3 '24 actual $1.47, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.36 Q2 '25 actual $1.41, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.49 Q3 '25 actual $1.48, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.29 Q4 '25 actual $1.27, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.36 Q1 '26 actual $1.68, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.91 Q2 '26 actual $2.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.42 Q4 '26 estimate $2.29 Q1 '27 estimate $2.30 Q2 '27 estimate $2.54
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold64 ratings
Bullish3046.9%
Neutral2843.7%
Bearish69.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$270.57Current
$140Low
$249.71Average
$405High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 59 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $270.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAlexi de Unger$405$277.07 +49.7%Jul 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$284.02 +40.4%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$305$284.47 +12.7%Jul 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$385$283.33 +42.3%Jul 23, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$330$284.18 +22.0%Jul 23, 2026
See 132 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) specializes in the global design, production, and sale of semiconductors to electronics engineers and manufacturers. Its operations are structured into two core segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog division provides a comprehensive suite of power management products, such as battery-management solutions, various DC/DC and AC/DC switching regulators and controllers, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, references, and lighting components, all critical for managing diverse power needs. This segment also delivers signal chain products designed to sense, condition, and measure electrical signals, facilitating information transfer or conversion for further processing and control, encompassing items like amplifiers, data converters, interface devices, motor drives, clocks, and sensing…

Historical context

All TXN earnings

Technology peers this season

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ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:58:43.975438+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T15:10:57.524450+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T15:10:57.521545+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.