Texas Instruments Incorporated · TXN · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

TI showed mixed recovery, with Q4 margin pressure still ahead

The quarter supports a mixed-demand view rather than a broad recovery: China EV content and several consumer, enterprise, and communications markets improved, but industrial weakness and Q4 margin pressure limit the near-term case for resilient growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $252.49B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.47 Consensus $1.38
EPS surprise +6.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.15B Consensus $4.12B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.0% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.8% Up to 20 sessions
TXNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, automotive momentum became more concentrated in China, several end markets showed stronger sequential rebounds, and new depreciation contributed to a more pressured Q4 outlook.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained, but the Q4 outlook called for lower revenue and EPS ranges and margin compression from lower revenue and higher depreciation.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue was flat year over year but higher sequentially, with modest gross-margin improvement.
  • China automotive and EV content drove growth, while non-China automotive and industrial demand remained weak.
  • Personal electronics, enterprise systems and communications rebounded sequentially.
  • Cash flow remained robust, with a dividend increase and substantial shareholder returns.
  • Q4 outlook pointed to lower revenue and EPS ranges and higher depreciation pressure.

Management priorities

  • Maintain manufacturing and technology investment, including SM1 capacity.
  • Continue disciplined capital allocation to support free-cash-flow-per-share growth.
  • Support automotive EV momentum in China while monitoring other markets.
  • Sustain dividend growth and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TXN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.47 Q4 '23 actual $1.49, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.07 Q1 '24 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.17 Q2 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.38 Q3 '24 actual $1.47, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.36 Q2 '25 actual $1.41, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.49 Q3 '25 actual $1.48, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.29 Q4 '25 actual $1.27, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.36 Q1 '26 actual $1.68, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.91 Q2 '26 actual $2.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.42 Q4 '26 estimate $2.30 Q1 '27 estimate $2.31 Q2 '27 estimate $2.56
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold64 ratings
Bullish3046.9%
Neutral2843.7%
Bearish69.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$276.48Current
$140Low
$249.71Average
$405High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 23, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 59 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $276.48. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAlexi de Unger$405$277.07 +46.5%Jul 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$380$284.02 +37.4%Jul 23, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$305$284.47 +10.3%Jul 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$385$283.33 +39.3%Jul 23, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$330$284.18 +19.4%Jul 23, 2026
See 132 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) specializes in the global design, production, and sale of semiconductors to electronics engineers and manufacturers. Its operations are structured into two core segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog division provides a comprehensive suite of power management products, such as battery-management solutions, various DC/DC and AC/DC switching regulators and controllers, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, references, and lighting components, all critical for managing diverse power needs. This segment also delivers signal chain products designed to sense, condition, and measure electrical signals, facilitating information transfer or conversion for further processing and control, encompassing items like amplifiers, data converters, interface devices, motor drives, clocks, and sensing…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T15:40:42.610663+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T15:40:42.607796+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.