Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. · TTWO · FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026

Take-Two reaffirms FY2027 outlook as GTA VI remains the catalyst

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: strong Q1 net bookings and the planned GTA VI launch support the FY2027 outlook, while weaker mobile bookings and recurrent consumer spending are important counterevidence.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $38.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.18 Consensus $0.33
EPS surprise -155.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.53B Consensus $1.36B
Revenue surprise +13.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.0% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +5.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.9% Up to 20 sessions
TTWOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 net bookings exceeded guidance, but recurrent consumer spending declined modestly and mobile bookings fell 7% year over year. Management raised capex to $290 million and maintained the FY2027 net bookings outlook.

Guidance delta

FY2027 net bookings outlook of $8-$8.2 billion was reaffirmed; no change was supplied.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 net bookings topped guidance, led by NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto.
  • Recurrent consumer spending declined modestly, while mobile bookings fell 7% year over year.
  • Management reaffirmed FY2027 net bookings of $8-$8.2 billion, with GTA VI central to the outlook.
  • Capex was raised to $290 million, including a planned real-estate purchase.
  • International expansion and potential accretive M&A remain part of management's plans.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Grand Theft Auto VI launch and build pre-release demand
  • Support NBA 2K and other live-service content
  • Expand internationally with geo-pricing tools and direct-to-consumer channels
  • Invest in development, infrastructure and a planned real-estate purchase
  • Evaluate potential accretive acquisitions

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTWO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $0.09 Q4 '24 actual $0.31, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.01 Q1 '25 actual $0.05, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.66, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.61, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.94 Q2 '26 actual $1.46, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.83 Q3 '26 actual $1.23, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.56 Q4 '26 actual $0.80, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.33 Q1 '27 actual $-0.18, miss Q2 '27 estimate $0.97 Q3 '27 estimate $3.83 Q4 '27 estimate $1.63
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4680.7%
Neutral1119.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$209.92Current
$105Low
$226.56Average
$313High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 25, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 2, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJan 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 13, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 3, 2025
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 8, 2025
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 8, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2025
Ascendiant Capital Buy BuyMaintainMar 3, 2025
MoffettNathanson Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 7, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainFeb 7, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJan 21, 2025
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 22, 2024
Roth MKM Buy BuyMaintainNov 19, 2024
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeAug 12, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeNov 14, 2023
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 31, 2023
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 9, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 12, 2023
DZ Bank Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 14, 2023
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 7, 2023
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainNov 8, 2022
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 8, 2022
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 22, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 23, 2020
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 21, 2020
Nomura Instinet Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 21, 2020
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 21, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainMar 25, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainMar 2, 2020
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 21, 2019
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 14, 2019
Gabelli & Co. Buy BuyMaintainJan 16, 2019
Hilliard Lyons Neutral UnderperformUpgradeFeb 9, 2018
BTIG Research Buy BuyMaintainDec 18, 2017
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainNov 8, 2017
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 4, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 11, 2015
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2015
Mizuho Buy BuyMaintainJun 26, 2015
Sterne Agee CRT Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 19, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 19, 2015
Leerink Swann Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 2, 2014
CRT Capital Hold HoldMaintainJan 17, 2014
Pacific Crest Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 11, 2013
National Alliance Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 2, 2012
National Alliance Buy BuyMaintainAug 2, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $209.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$285$252.15 +35.8%Aug 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$270$246.5 +28.6%Aug 10, 2026
OppenheimerMartin Yang$280$246.5 +33.4%Aug 10, 2026
BTIGClark Lampen$313$246.5 +49.1%Aug 10, 2026
Wells FargoAlec Brondolo$300$246.5 +42.9%Aug 10, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$300$246.5 +42.9%Aug 7, 2026
Raymond JamesAndrew Marok$300$233.94 +42.9%Aug 6, 2026
Wells FargoAlec Brondolo$289$258.41 +37.7%Jul 7, 2026
BMO CapitalBrian Pitz$285$235.47 +35.8%Jun 25, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$290$242.64 +38.1%Jun 24, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$280$226.98 +33.4%Jun 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$287$238.08 +36.7%May 22, 2026
WedbushAlicia Reese$300$218.68 +42.9%Mar 3, 2026
Raymond JamesStrong Buy$285$205.03 +35.8%Feb 10, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$280$204.2 +33.4%Feb 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$301$212.17 +43.4%Feb 4, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$300$247.33 +42.9%Jan 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$280$249.83 +33.4%Jan 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$288$256.67 +37.2%Jan 8, 2026
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$284$246.03 +35.3%Dec 1, 2025
UBSChristopher Schoell$292$231.92 +39.1%Nov 7, 2025
JefferiesJames Heaney$300$256.37 +42.9%Nov 3, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$295$259.23 +40.5%Oct 17, 2025
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$300$258.07 +42.9%Oct 9, 2025
Wells FargoAlec Brondolo$277$256.98 +32.0%Oct 7, 2025
Redburn PartnersHamilton Faber$260$232.68 +23.9%Aug 13, 2025
BMO CapitalBrian Pitz$252$217.37 +20.0%Aug 8, 2025
Raymond JamesAndrew Marok$250$226.74 +19.1%May 16, 2025
D.A. DavidsonWyatt Swanson$270$226.74 +28.6%May 16, 2025
Stifel NicolausDrew Crum$191$158.04 -9.0%Sep 5, 2024
HSBCMohammed Khallouf$179$147.29 -14.7%Aug 12, 2024
Goldman SachsEric Sheridan$186$144.82 -11.4%Aug 9, 2024
JefferiesJames Heaney$185$148.83 -11.9%Jul 11, 2024
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$190$155.37 -9.5%Jun 18, 2024
J.P. MorganCory A Carpenter$200$158.51 -4.7%Jun 11, 2024
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$172$147.84 -18.1%May 20, 2024
HSBCMohammed Khallouf$154$151 -26.6%May 17, 2024
Goldman SachsEric Sheridan$170$146.08 -19.0%May 17, 2024
JefferiesAndrew Uerkwitz$195$148.49 -7.1%Apr 1, 2024
WedbushNick McKay$190$155.09 -9.5%Feb 9, 2024
Deutsche BankBenjamin Soff$175$153.4 -16.6%Nov 14, 2023
OppenheimerMartin Yang$170$145.73 -19.0%Nov 9, 2023
Raymond JamesAndrew Marok$170$145.71 -19.0%Oct 11, 2023
Truist FinancialMatthew Thornton$158$150.26 -24.7%Jul 11, 2023
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$145$125.02 -30.9%May 18, 2023
Credit SuisseStephen Ju$127$122.57 -39.5%May 17, 2023
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$130$114.65 -38.1%Feb 7, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$140$109.74 -33.3%Feb 7, 2023
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$130$105.56 -38.1%Feb 7, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$129$111.47 -38.5%Feb 3, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$105$100.79 -50.0%Dec 9, 2022
Stifel NicolausDrew Cum$161$108.4 -23.3%Nov 8, 2022
Truist FinancialMatthew Thornton$157$118.63 -25.2%Sep 5, 2022
BarclaysMario Lu Lu$175$123.04 -16.6%Aug 30, 2022
Truist FinancialMatthew Thornton$162$127.39 -22.8%Aug 4, 2022
Credit SuisseStephen Ju$139$130.65 -33.8%Jul 27, 2022
UBSJohn Hodulik$143$127.04 -31.9%Jul 6, 2022
Goldman SachsEric Sheridan$136$129.23 -35.2%Jun 9, 2022
Stifel NicolausDrew Crum$200$123.08 -4.7%May 17, 2022
Credit SuisseStephen Ju$182$123.08 -13.3%May 17, 2022
BernsteinMatti Littunen$173$136.41 -17.6%Apr 22, 2022
KeyBancTyler Parker$190$141.31 -9.5%Apr 10, 2022
Benchmark Co.Mike Hickey$200$153.49 -4.7%Mar 13, 2022
MKM PartnersEric Handler$200$158.01 -4.7%Mar 5, 2022
Credit SuisseStephen Ju$210$172.2 +0.0%Feb 8, 2022
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$210$175.1 +0.0%Feb 7, 2022
BNP ParibasNicolas Langlet$215$163.36 +2.4%Jan 19, 2022
Morgan StanleyBrian Nowak$215$148.42 +2.4%Jan 11, 2022
MoffettNathansonClay Griffin$170$148.42 -19.0%Jan 11, 2022
AscendiantEdward Woo$191$142.99 -9.0%Jan 10, 2022
OppenheimerMartin Yang$215$192.91 +2.4%Nov 4, 2021
BarclaysMario Lu$220$192.91 +4.8%Nov 4, 2021
DZ BANK AGManuel Muhl$210$158.75 +0.0%Aug 4, 2021
Cowen & Co.Doug Creutz$229$159.86 +9.1%Aug 3, 2021
Goldman SachsEric Sheridan$185$185.08 -11.9%May 20, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1993 and headquartered in New York, New York, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a global leader in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive entertainment experiences for consumers worldwide. The company's extensive catalog is primarily distributed under its prominent labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games. Rockstar Games is renowned for its action-adventure titles, including iconic franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Max Payne, and Midnight Club, alongside other fan favorites such as LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt. The 2K label covers a broad spectrum of genres, offering popular series in shooter (Borderlands), action (BioShock, Mafia), role-playing, strategy (Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series), sports, and family/casual categories.…

Historical context

All TTWO earnings

Technology peers this season

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SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
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DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T18:17:28.668190+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-12T01:23:12.567806+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T00:00:47.904784+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T00:00:47.901754+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.