Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. · TTWO · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2025

Take-Two raises outlook as mobile and NBA 2K momentum strengthens

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating narrative: resilient franchise engagement, stronger mobile performance and a raised outlook provide evidence of demand, while sustainability of mobile momentum, advertising conditions and dependence on releases remain the main tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $37.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.61 Consensus $0.28
EPS surprise +115.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.50B Consensus $1.31B
Revenue surprise +14.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -4.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.5% Up to 20 sessions
TTWOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the current analysis shows a stronger outcome and a raised outlook. Mobile momentum exceeded expectations, NBA 2K recurrent consumer spending was stronger, and management emphasized a broader release pipeline and continued capital allocation.

Guidance delta

Raised: management increased the FY2026 bookings outlook after first-quarter bookings exceeded guidance.

Key takeaways

  • The quarter’s stronger-than-expected bookings led management to raise its full-year outlook.
  • Mobile performance, particularly Toon Blast, exceeded expectations and supported growth.
  • NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto remained important engagement and recurrent-spending drivers.

Management priorities

  • Execute the upcoming release slate, including Mafia: The Old Country, NBA 2K26 and Borderlands 4.
  • Continue investing in organic growth while pursuing selective inorganic opportunities.
  • Maintain shareholder-return initiatives, including share buybacks.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TTWO REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1B Q1 '25 actual $1B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 actual $2B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $2B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $3B Q4 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy57 ratings
Bullish4680.7%
Neutral1119.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$202.73Previous close
$105Low
$226.76Average
$313High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 52 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $202.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$310$201.07 +52.9%Sep 28, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$285$252.15 +40.6%Aug 10, 2026
Robert W. BairdColin Sebastian$270$246.5 +33.2%Aug 10, 2026
OppenheimerMartin Yang$280$246.5 +38.1%Aug 10, 2026
BTIGClark Lampen$313$246.5 +54.4%Aug 10, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in 1993 and headquartered in New York, New York, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. is a global leader in the development, publishing, and marketing of interactive entertainment experiences for consumers worldwide. The company's extensive catalog is primarily distributed under its prominent labels: Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games. Rockstar Games is renowned for its action-adventure titles, including iconic franchises like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Max Payne, and Midnight Club, alongside other fan favorites such as LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt. The 2K label covers a broad spectrum of genres, offering popular series in shooter (Borderlands), action (BioShock, Mafia), role-playing, strategy (Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series), sports, and family/casual categories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T09:00:42.733177+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T09:00:42.730167+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.