Toast, Inc. · TOST · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Toast lifts FY2026 outlook as AI and expansion initiatives gain traction
The quarter adds evidence that Toast is combining growth in its core restaurant base with broader monetization and new-market opportunities. Whether AI and adjacent-market expansion can scale while preserving margins remains unresolved.
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Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, Toast raised its full-year outlook, reported recurring gross profit growth of 28% and GAAP operating margin of 26%, and recorded 9,500 net location adds. Management also highlighted Toast IQ Grow, new hospitality and international wins, and the start of fuel-payment processing.
Guidance delta
Management raised FY2026 recurring gross profit growth guidance from 21–23% to 23–25% and adjusted EBITDA guidance from $790–810 million to $805–825 million.
Key takeaways
- Toast IQ Grow was described as its fastest-growing product and was on track to reach $10 million ARR; management said it is contributing to higher ARPU.
- Core activity remained strong in the reported quarter, with 28% recurring gross profit growth and a record 9,500 net location adds.
- The company is extending beyond its core restaurant footprint through hospitality, international, grocery and fuel-payment initiatives.
- The raised outlook supports the growth case, but hardware costs and the economics of newer offerings remain important execution tests.
Management priorities
- Expand Toast IQ with additional agentic modules for payroll, tax, scheduling, inventory and bookkeeping.
- Scale fuel payments and pursue further grocery and convenience-store locations.
- Deepen enterprise hotel relationships and continue Tier 1 international expansion.
- Use internal AI tools to improve operational efficiency while managing hardware costs.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 19, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Sep 2, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 31, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Rothschild & Co | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 12, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 12, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 8, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 4, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas Exane | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 18, 2024 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Redburn Atlantic | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 7, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 9, 2023 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 4, 2023 |
| SMBC Nikko | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Feb 17, 2023 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $35.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | Billy Fitzsimmons | $39 | $35.45 | +10.3% | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Needham | Mayank Tandon | $45 | $33.53 | +27.2% | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Josh Baer | $42 | $33.53 | +18.7% | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Coad | $38 | $31.62 | +7.4% | Oct 19, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Thomas Poutrieux | $35 | $33.59 | -1.0% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $44 | $35.15 | +24.4% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $33.54 | +10.3% | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Harshita Rawat | $45 | $34.79 | +27.2% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $35.3 | +1.8% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $33.81 | +7.4% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $33.81 | +10.3% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Canaccord Genuity | David Hynes | $40 | $33.81 | +13.1% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Andrew Bauch | $40 | $33.81 | +13.1% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $33.81 | +13.1% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $33.81 | +13.1% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $33.81 | +10.3% | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $32.27 | +7.4% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $32.58 | -15.2% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Coad | $33 | $28.4 | -6.7% | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $28.57 | +1.8% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $29.61 | -6.7% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $29.61 | -1.0% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Billy Fitzsimmons | $32 | $24.3 | -9.5% | Jun 10, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $23.12 | -20.8% | May 12, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $24.19 | -15.2% | May 12, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $24.19 | +7.4% | May 12, 2026 |
| Redburn Partners | Dominic Ball | $35 | $24.19 | -1.0% | May 12, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $24.89 | +27.2% | May 8, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Rayna Kumar | $36 | $24.94 | +1.8% | May 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Timothy Chiodo | $34 | $29.38 | -3.9% | May 8, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.67 | -1.0% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Coad | $36 | $26.54 | +1.8% | Feb 25, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $27.58 | -6.7% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $28.29 | +27.2% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Harshita Rawat | $39 | $27.33 | +10.3% | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $51 | $27.82 | +44.2% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.12 | -1.0% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $39 | $27.6 | +10.3% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $26.14 | +1.8% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Analyst unavailable | $37 | $26.14 | +4.6% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $26.14 | +13.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $26.14 | -1.0% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $36 | $31.11 | +1.8% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $33.8 | +18.7% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $33.52 | +13.1% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Stephens | Charles Nabhan | $42 | $33.38 | +18.7% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $43 | $35.17 | +21.6% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $34.18 | +13.1% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $39.1 | +27.2% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $42 | $38.49 | +18.7% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $35.64 | +58.3% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $35.64 | +27.2% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Darrin Peller | $48 | $35.64 | +35.7% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Tim Chiodo | $50 | $35.64 | +41.4% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Coad | $47 | $39.24 | +32.9% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $38.55 | +32.9% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $36.64 | +1.8% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Koning | $48 | $38.92 | +35.7% | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Kannan Venkateshwar | $140 | $45.14 | +295.8% | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Truist Financial | Matthew Coad | $48 | $42.99 | +35.7% | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Josh Baer | $46 | $34.29 | +30.1% | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Will Nance | $38 | $35.68 | +7.4% | Apr 2, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Rufus Hone | $45 | $40.46 | +27.2% | Feb 19, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $38 | $38.13 | +7.4% | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Koning | $38 | $38.14 | +7.4% | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Will Nance | $45 | $43.54 | +27.2% | Dec 2, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $35 | $30.12 | -1.0% | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Josh Baer | $33 | $29.64 | -6.7% | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Koning | $30 | $28.34 | -15.2% | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $33 | $26.51 | -6.7% | Jul 18, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Peter Heckmann | $32 | $25.52 | -9.5% | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Josh Baer | $29 | $23.61 | -18.0% | May 30, 2024 |
| Needham | Mayank Tandon | $30 | $23.63 | -15.2% | May 30, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Daniel Perlin | $27 | $23.63 | -23.7% | May 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Will Nance | $29 | $23.63 | -18.0% | May 30, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Bryan Keane | $24 | $23.63 | -32.1% | May 30, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Moshe Katri | $30 | $25.46 | -15.2% | May 24, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Brent Bracelin | $25 | $26.82 | -29.3% | May 9, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $21 | $26.82 | -40.6% | May 9, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Koning | $28 | $23.82 | -20.8% | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Jeff Cantwell | $17 | $24.56 | -51.9% | Apr 12, 2024 |
| BNP Paribas | Thomas Poutrieux | $30 | $24.82 | -15.2% | Mar 7, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Will Nance | $24 | $19.14 | -32.1% | Jan 10, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | David Koning | $18 | $13.92 | -49.1% | Nov 10, 2023 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $16 | $18.19 | -54.8% | Oct 2, 2023 |
| UBS | Rayna Kumar | $30 | $21.42 | -15.2% | Sep 6, 2023 |
| Piper Sandler | Brent Bracelin | $27 | $21.65 | -23.7% | Sep 5, 2023 |
| Stephens | Charles Nabhan | $22 | $22.32 | -37.8% | Jun 28, 2023 |
| Stephens | Charles Nabhan | $18 | $17.57 | -49.1% | Apr 14, 2023 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $18.15 | -23.7% | Aug 12, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | Josh Beck | $25 | $14.99 | -29.3% | May 13, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $19 | $13.77 | -46.3% | May 9, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Jeff Cantwell | $29 | $18.81 | -18.0% | Apr 10, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Timothy Chiodo | $22 | $22.76 | -37.8% | Apr 3, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Dan Dolev | $24 | $21.21 | -32.1% | Jan 25, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationToast, Inc. delivers a comprehensive cloud-based digital technology platform tailored specifically for the restaurant sector, serving businesses across the United States and Ireland. Its extensive product suite features an array of hardware solutions, including the foundational Toast Point of Sale (POS) system. Toast Flex offers versatile functionality, adaptable as an on-counter order and payment terminal, a server workstation, a guest kiosk, a kitchen display system, or an order fulfillment hub. For enhanced tableside service and expedited table turnover, the company provides Toast Go, a handheld POS device facilitating ordering and payment acceptance directly at the table, alongside Toast Tap, a compact card reader. Beyond hardware, Toast supplies robust software solutions. Toast Order & Pay empowers guests to place orders and settle bills conveniently from their mobile devices. The platform integrates specialized kitchen display system software, streamlining communication between front-of-house staff and the kitchen team.…
Historical context
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Missed on EPS
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- OVVFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-2.0% EPS-5.1% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-05T18:18:45.076297+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-05T05:00:45.895868+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-05T05:00:45.893109+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.