T-Mobile US, Inc. · TMUS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

T-Mobile combines record adds with raised 2026–27 guidance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive view of T-Mobile's operating trajectory: record postpaid additions, improving network perception, broadband expansion, and UScellular synergies underpin raised guidance. The key test is whether management can convert these initiatives into durable growth while controlling integration, acquisition, device-cycle, and spectrum risks.

Reported Before market openNASDAQCommunication Services $175.53B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.59 Consensus $2.40
EPS surprise +7.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $21.96B Consensus $21.91B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.3% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.3% Up to 20 sessions
TMUSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes record postpaid additions, stronger network perception, immediate UScellular customer benefits, expanded AI and satellite initiatives, and raised 2026–27 guidance. The risk discussion now focuses more specifically on synergy realization, customer acquisition costs, the iPhone cycle, and spectrum strategy.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026–27 guidance for revenue, ARPA, and EBITDA.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record postpaid net additions of over 1 million phones and strong 5G broadband and fiber growth.
  • Network perception among switchers reached an all-time high, supporting customer acquisition.
  • UScellular integration is expected to add $1.2 billion in OpEx and CapEx synergies, with $300 million of merger costs in Q4.
  • Digital transformation and AI initiatives are intended to improve acquisition and reduce customer friction.
  • The outlook depends on executing integration, broadband expansion, and satellite and AI initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Complete UScellular integration and pursue full run-rate synergies within two years
  • Accelerate fiber rollout toward approximately 130,000 net additions this year
  • Expand AI-enabled customer experiences through IntentCX
  • Extend satellite connectivity and continue 6G AI-RAN development

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TMUS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.87 Q1 '24 actual $2.00, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.28 Q2 '24 actual $2.49, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.42 Q3 '24 actual $2.61, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.67 Q2 '25 actual $2.84, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.40 Q3 '25 actual $2.59, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $1.88, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.01 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.59 Q2 '26 actual $2.99, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.89 Q4 '26 estimate $2.74 Q1 '27 estimate $3.32 Q2 '27 estimate $3.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4178.9%
Neutral1019.2%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$163.47Current
$100Low
$215.47Average
$310High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 2, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 21, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 7, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 6, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform PerformUpgradeApr 29, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy HoldUpgradeApr 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 17, 2026
Daiwa Capital Outperform NeutralUpgradeFeb 19, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 16, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 12, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainDec 9, 2025
Tigress Financial Buy BuyMaintainNov 11, 2025
Redburn Atlantic Neutral SellUpgradeJul 7, 2025
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 25, 2024
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 24, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 18, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2023
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJun 5, 2023
MoffettNathanson Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 6, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 2, 2023
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainSep 21, 2021
DZ Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2021
Redburn Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 25, 2021
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainFeb 5, 2021
Guggenheim Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 9, 2020
Nomura Instinet Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2020
Bank of America Underperform UnderperformMaintainFeb 9, 2018
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeDec 19, 2017
Moffett Nathanson Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 27, 2017
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2017
BTIG Research Buy BuyMaintainOct 18, 2017
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 18, 2017
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainJun 8, 2017
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 19, 2017
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2016
FBR Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 29, 2016
Pacific Crest Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2016
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2015
Argus Capital Buy HoldUpgradeSep 12, 2014
Evercore Partners Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeAug 4, 2014
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 8, 2014
Canaccord Genuity Buy HoldUpgradeNov 6, 2013
William Blair Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 6, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $163.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$217$163.44 +32.8%Oct 2, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$232$178.92 +41.9%Jul 24, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$250$178.6 +52.9%Jul 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$235$177.29 +43.8%Jul 24, 2026
Williams TradingGreg Williams$260$176.92 +59.1%Jul 24, 2026
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$250$170.42 +52.9%Jul 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$169$170.42 +3.4%Jul 24, 2026
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$215$170.42 +31.5%Jul 24, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$230$170.42 +40.7%Jul 23, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$243$188.38 +48.7%Jul 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$170$184.73 +4.0%Jul 8, 2026
Morgan StanleySean Diffley$230$187.7 +40.7%Jul 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$180.9 +56.0%Jun 22, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$285$197.09 +74.3%Apr 30, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$263$197.94 +60.9%Apr 29, 2026
Williams TradingGregory Williams$261$196.89 +59.7%Apr 29, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$224$186.72 +37.0%Apr 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$220$186.72 +34.6%Apr 29, 2026
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$260$186.72 +59.1%Apr 29, 2026
DaiwaJonathan Kees$240$213.25 +46.8%Feb 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$235$215.78 +43.8%Feb 13, 2026
Wolfe ResearchPeter Supino$255$218.3 +56.0%Feb 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$266$218.58 +62.7%Feb 12, 2026
Williams TradingGregory Williams$252$219.36 +54.2%Feb 12, 2026
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$245$215.82 +49.9%Feb 12, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$225$186.03 +37.6%Jan 26, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$245$190.66 +49.9%Jan 16, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$270.5$197.82 +65.5%Jan 7, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$253$195.03 +54.8%Dec 15, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$251$195.32 +53.5%Dec 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$260$201.35 +59.1%Dec 10, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$245$201.23 +49.9%Dec 9, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$300$210.51 +83.5%Nov 21, 2025
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$310$211.98 +89.6%Nov 11, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$280$216.37 +71.3%Oct 27, 2025
HSBCAli Naqvi$285$217.77 +74.3%Oct 24, 2025
Williams TradingGreg Williams$263$219.99 +60.9%Oct 24, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$225.06 +65.2%Oct 14, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$278$230.27 +70.1%Oct 6, 2025
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$286$255.89 +75.0%Sep 2, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$265$232.77 +62.1%Apr 25, 2025
Williams TradingGregory Williams$272$232.77 +66.4%Apr 25, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$250$232.77 +52.9%Apr 25, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$270$262.74 +65.2%Mar 5, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$275$272.83 +68.2%Mar 3, 2025
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$250$238.1 +52.9%Feb 3, 2025
Argus ResearchJoseph Bonner$275$232.97 +68.2%Jan 31, 2025
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$280$248.1 +71.3%Dec 2, 2024
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$230$230.02 +40.7%Oct 24, 2024
Evercore ISIKutgun Marai$240$220.95 +46.8%Oct 24, 2024
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$250$228.99 +52.9%Oct 24, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$237$228.68 +45.0%Oct 24, 2024
Williams TradingGreg Williams$250$220.95 +52.9%Oct 24, 2024
CitigroupMichael Rollins$254$222.84 +55.4%Oct 21, 2024
ScotiabankSector Perform$236$221.95 +44.4%Oct 18, 2024
Raymond JamesJames Schneider$205$200.68 +25.4%Sep 19, 2024
Evercore ISIVijay Jayant$220$196.68 +34.6%Sep 19, 2024
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$215$196.68 +31.5%Sep 19, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$215.5$199.1 +31.8%Sep 19, 2024
UBSJohn Hodulik$210$200.55 +28.5%Sep 19, 2024
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$209$205.02 +27.9%Sep 16, 2024
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$230$202.83 +40.7%Sep 16, 2024
RBC CapitalJonathan Atkin$200$185.46 +22.4%Aug 1, 2024
Williams TradingGregory Williams$216$182.28 +32.1%Aug 1, 2024
BarclaysKannan Venkateshwar$200$182.28 +22.4%Aug 1, 2024
Deutsche BankBryan Kraft$200$183.56 +22.4%Jul 18, 2024
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$200$176.18 +22.4%Jul 1, 2024
KeyBancBrandon Nispel$190$177.34 +16.2%Jul 1, 2024
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$185$168.14 +13.2%May 29, 2024
Raymond JamesRic Prentiss$172$137.63 +5.2%Sep 8, 2023
J.P. MorganPhilip Cusick$200$146 +22.4%Apr 4, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$176$146.95 +7.7%Feb 3, 2023
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$199$147 +21.7%Feb 2, 2023
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$174$150.97 +6.4%Feb 2, 2023
RBC CapitalKutgun Maral$166$143.99 +1.6%Jan 5, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$175$140.2 +7.1%Dec 15, 2022
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$202$145 +23.6%Nov 15, 2022
RBC CapitalKutgun Maral$158$134.56 -3.3%Jul 26, 2022
ScotiabankMaher Yaghi$153$137.1 -6.4%Jul 6, 2022
RBC CapitalKutgun Maral$152$129.84 -7.0%Apr 28, 2022
Credit SuisseDouglas Mitchelson$165$130.76 +0.9%Apr 2, 2022
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$185$124.57 +13.2%Mar 12, 2022
CitigroupMichael Rollins$155$120.94 -5.2%Feb 6, 2022
Goldman SachsBrett Feldman$153$109.58 -6.4%Feb 2, 2022
J.P. MorganPhilip Cusick$175$109.58 +7.1%Feb 2, 2022
OppenheimerTimothy Horan$95$54.79 -41.9%Feb 2, 2022
Benchmark Co.Matthew Harrigan$100$54.78 -38.8%Feb 1, 2022
Morgan StanleySimon Flannery$149$108.52 -8.8%Jan 14, 2022
BernsteinPeter Supino$162$114.43 -0.9%Jan 3, 2022
DaiwaJonathan Kees$128$119.91 -21.7%Dec 23, 2021
Bank of America SecuritiesDavid Barden$155$115.8 -5.2%Nov 2, 2021
Wells FargoEric Luebchow$160$117.19 -2.1%Oct 11, 2021
Truist FinancialGregory P Miller$175$144.02 +7.1%Jul 30, 2021
Evercore ISIVijay Jayant$170$144.02 +4.0%Jul 30, 2021
Societe GeneraleOttavio Adorisio$170$149.41 +4.0%Jul 16, 2021
Berenberg BankSunil Rajgopal$139$137.73 -15.0%May 24, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

T-Mobile US, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, offers mobile telecommunications services across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Catering to approximately 108.7 million subscribers, the company delivers essential voice, messaging, and data connectivity to customers in postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale segments. Beyond services, T-Mobile also supplies a broad array of wireless devices, such as smartphones, wearables, tablets, and other mobile communication gadgets, along with associated accessories.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T17:50:43.198098+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T17:50:43.195324+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.