The TJX Companies, Inc. · TJX · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

TJX raises outlook as value demand remains firm

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: demand for TJX’s value proposition remains resilient, while store expansion, merchandise availability, and marketing provide avenues for continued growth. The thesis is tempered by Marmaxx execution issues and cost-related uncertainty.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $140.56B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.22 Consensus $1.19
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $15.18B Consensus $15.16B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.2% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.4% Up to 20 sessions
TJXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis shows stronger-than-planned comparable sales, improved performance signals at Marmaxx, raised full-year profitability and earnings guidance, and a higher store-count ambition. Management also emphasized faster expansion and more digital marketing while acknowledging execution and cost risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised its full-year pretax margin and earnings outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Comparable sales exceeded the company’s plan, with three of four divisions performing strongly.
  • Marmaxx lagged, but management said early signs of improvement were emerging.
  • Management attributed the broader performance to value demand, merchandise availability, and diversified sourcing.
  • Store expansion and digital marketing remain central to the growth plan.
  • The main counterweights are Marmaxx execution, cost pressure, and tariff-refund uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Improve merchandise planning and allocation at Marmaxx.
  • Accelerate domestic and international store expansion.
  • Invest in digital and social-media marketing.
  • Maintain merchandise availability through diversified vendor relationships.
  • Prepare holiday merchandising and marketing campaigns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TJX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $16B Q4 '24 actual $16B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $12B Q1 '25 actual $12B, match Q2 '25 estimate $13B Q2 '25 actual $13B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $14B Q2 '26 actual $14B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $15B Q3 '26 actual $15B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q4 '26 actual $18B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $14B Q1 '27 actual $14B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $15B Q2 '27 actual $15B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $16B Q4 '27 estimate $19B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4584.9%
Neutral713.2%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$128.41Current
$67Low
$137.48Average
$198High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Accumulate BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $128.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$152$135.14 +18.4%Aug 31, 2026
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$145$139.48 +12.9%Aug 26, 2026
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$175$140.46 +36.3%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIMichael Binetti$173$144.5 +34.7%Aug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Capital CorporationAnalyst unavailable$155$144.5 +20.7%Aug 20, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs.…

Historical context

All TJX earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-19T17:19:26.720594+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T13:01:02.480026+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T13:01:02.476976+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.