The TJX Companies, Inc. · TJX · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

TJX raises outlook as value demand remains firm

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: demand for TJX’s value proposition remains resilient, while store expansion, merchandise availability, and marketing provide avenues for continued growth. The thesis is tempered by Marmaxx execution issues and cost-related uncertainty.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $140.56B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.22 Consensus $1.19
EPS surprise +2.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $15.18B Consensus $15.16B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.2% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -12.4% Up to 20 sessions
TJXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The latest analysis shows stronger-than-planned comparable sales, improved performance signals at Marmaxx, raised full-year profitability and earnings guidance, and a higher store-count ambition. Management also emphasized faster expansion and more digital marketing while acknowledging execution and cost risks.

Guidance delta

Management raised its full-year pretax margin and earnings outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Comparable sales exceeded the company’s plan, with three of four divisions performing strongly.
  • Marmaxx lagged, but management said early signs of improvement were emerging.
  • Management attributed the broader performance to value demand, merchandise availability, and diversified sourcing.
  • Store expansion and digital marketing remain central to the growth plan.
  • The main counterweights are Marmaxx execution, cost pressure, and tariff-refund uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Improve merchandise planning and allocation at Marmaxx.
  • Accelerate domestic and international store expansion.
  • Invest in digital and social-media marketing.
  • Maintain merchandise availability through diversified vendor relationships.
  • Prepare holiday merchandising and marketing campaigns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TJX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1.12 Q4 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.87 Q1 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.92 Q2 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.01 Q2 '26 actual $1.10, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.23 Q3 '26 actual $1.28, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.39 Q4 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.02 Q1 '27 actual $1.19, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.19 Q2 '27 actual $1.22, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.35 Q4 '27 estimate $1.50
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4584.9%
Neutral713.2%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$128.41Current
$67Low
$137.48Average
$198High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Accumulate BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeAug 20, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 21, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2025
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 20, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2025
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 20, 2025
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 27, 2025
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainDec 5, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainNov 21, 2024
Redburn Atlantic Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 5, 2024
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 21, 2023
Cleveland Research Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 9, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 23, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 17, 2022
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 25, 2021
Nomura Instinet Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2020
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainMay 22, 2020
CFRA Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainMay 21, 2020
Atlantic Equities Overweight NeutralUpgradeApr 29, 2020
Cowen& Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 8, 2019
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2019
Citi Buy BuyMaintainNov 20, 2019
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 15, 2019
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainFeb 28, 2019
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeNov 29, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2018
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2018
Buckingham Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2018
Susquehanna Outperform PositiveMaintainFeb 10, 2017
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 2, 2016
BB&T Capital Buy BuyMaintainDec 17, 2015
Cantor Fitzgerald Hold HoldMaintainNov 18, 2015
Sterne Agee Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 19, 2014
Canaccord Genuity Sell HoldDowngradeNov 14, 2014
Northcoast Research Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 24, 2014
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 21, 2014
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2013
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2013
Miller Tabak Buy BuyMaintainFeb 28, 2013
ISI Group Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $128.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$152$135.14 +18.4%Aug 31, 2026
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$145$139.48 +12.9%Aug 26, 2026
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$175$140.46 +36.3%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIMichael Binetti$173$144.5 +34.7%Aug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Capital CorporationAnalyst unavailable$155$144.5 +20.7%Aug 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$178$144.5 +38.6%Aug 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$198$144.5 +54.2%Aug 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$188$144.5 +46.4%Aug 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAlex Straton$181$157.55 +41.0%Aug 5, 2026
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$185$156.72 +44.1%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$190$156.82 +48.0%May 21, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$197$157.11 +53.4%May 21, 2026
Evercore ISIMichael Binetti$175$158.12 +36.3%May 21, 2026
BTIGBob Drbul$190$159.21 +48.0%May 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$175$159.21 +36.3%May 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$160$159.21 +24.6%May 21, 2026
BarclaysAdrienne Yih$190$159.21 +48.0%May 21, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$175$147.43 +36.3%May 18, 2026
BTIGBob Drbul$185$155.82 +44.1%Feb 26, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$184$157.4 +43.3%Jan 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$193$154.04 +50.3%Jan 8, 2026
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$170$153.57 +32.4%Jan 6, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$168$155.09 +30.8%Dec 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$150$156.78 +16.8%Dec 16, 2025
GuggenheimSimeon Siegel$175$153.7 +36.3%Dec 9, 2025
UBSJay Sole$181$150.71 +41.0%Dec 4, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$165$150.06 +28.5%Dec 4, 2025
BarclaysAdrienne Yih$172$150.06 +33.9%Dec 4, 2025
Robert W. BairdMark Altschwager$160$145.44 +24.6%Nov 20, 2025
Morgan StanleyAlex Straton$162$145.81 +26.2%Nov 20, 2025
Goldman SachsBrooke Roach$170$145.81 +32.4%Nov 20, 2025
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$145$145.81 +12.9%Nov 20, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$168$148.45 +30.8%Nov 20, 2025
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$155$145.81 +20.7%Nov 20, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$165$145.81 +28.5%Nov 19, 2025
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$170$146.72 +32.4%Nov 11, 2025
UBSJay Sole$172$140.78 +33.9%Nov 4, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$140$141.91 +9.0%Oct 27, 2025
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$165$144.1 +28.5%Oct 14, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsLaura Champine$150$129.58 +16.8%May 22, 2025
Morgan StanleyAlex Straton$140$129.58 +9.0%May 22, 2025
UBSJay Sole$164$129.58 +27.7%May 22, 2025
TD SecuritiesJohn Kernan$142$134.93 +10.6%May 21, 2025
UBSJay Sole$151$120.06 +17.6%Jan 10, 2025
Robert W. BairdMark Altschwager$128$120.23 -0.3%Aug 22, 2024
CitigroupPaul Lejuez$128$120.23 -0.3%Aug 22, 2024
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$115$120.23 -10.4%Aug 22, 2024
BarclaysAdrienne Yih$136$120.23 +5.9%Aug 22, 2024
Telsey AdvisoryDana Telsey$128$111.48 -0.3%Aug 16, 2024
Robert W. BairdMark Altschwager$113$101.12 -12.0%May 23, 2024
BMO CapitalSimeon Siegel$110$99.52 -14.3%May 23, 2024
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$100$101.12 -22.1%May 23, 2024
CFRAAaron Siegel$100$101.12 -22.1%May 22, 2024
Morgan StanleyAlex Straton$113$95.11 -12.0%May 6, 2024
UBSJay Sole$132$93.82 +2.8%May 2, 2024
Goldman SachsBrooke Roach$110$95.28 -14.3%Apr 25, 2024
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$95$80.52 -26.0%Feb 6, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$78$80.05 -39.3%Dec 1, 2022
Telsey AdvisoryTelsey Advisory Telsey Advisory$95$78.16 -26.0%Nov 21, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$94$77.99 -26.8%Nov 18, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$84$77.16 -34.6%Nov 17, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$80$77.02 -37.7%Nov 17, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$85$77.08 -33.8%Nov 17, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$74$75.85 -42.4%Nov 17, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$83$77.1 -35.4%Nov 17, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$85$79.02 -33.8%Nov 17, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$86$74 -33.0%Nov 11, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsLaura Champine$65$68.01 -49.4%Aug 19, 2022
Goldman SachsBrooke Roach$70$62.65 -45.5%Aug 2, 2022
UBSJay Sole$71$62.03 -44.7%Jun 6, 2022
Gordon Haskett Capital CorporationChuck Grom$67$57.87 -47.8%May 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyKimberly Greenberger$80$60.19 -37.7%May 19, 2022
J.P. MorganMatthew Boss$76$56.36 -40.8%May 16, 2022
BarclaysAdrienne Yih$85$65.2 -33.8%Apr 19, 2022
Wells FargoIke Boruchow$60$61.56 -53.3%Apr 9, 2022
Truist FinancialBeth Reed$82$64.69 -36.1%Feb 24, 2022
Deutsche BankGabriella Carbone$79$64.69 -38.5%Feb 24, 2022
BMO CapitalSimeon Siegel$75$62.5 -41.6%Feb 23, 2022
J.P. MorganMatthew Boss$81$62.5 -36.9%Feb 23, 2022
GuggenheimRobert Drbul$80$62.5 -37.7%Feb 23, 2022
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$90$62.5 -29.9%Feb 23, 2022
Robert W. BairdMark Altschwager$78$62.5 -39.3%Feb 23, 2022
Deutsche BankGabriella Carbone$83$67.1 -35.4%Feb 16, 2022
Argus ResearchChris Graja$88$69.1 -31.5%Nov 26, 2021
Loop Capital MarketsLaura Champine$70$72.83 -45.5%Nov 18, 2021
MKM PartnersRoxanne Meyer$87$73.49 -32.2%Aug 20, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs.…

Historical context

All TJX earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-19T17:19:26.720594+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T13:01:02.480026+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T13:01:02.476976+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.