Tenet Healthcare Corporation · THC · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Tenet raises EBITDA guidance as USPI and high-acuity care drive Q2

Tenet's Q2 supports a constructive growth thesis: higher-acuity services, USPI expansion, supplemental Medicaid revenue and technology-enabled cost management outweighed exchange revenue pressure. The durability of the result depends on recurring operating gains rather than favorable out-of-period Medicaid revenue and on continued execution in acquisitions.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $22.00B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.12 Consensus $4.26
EPS surprise +43.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.63B Consensus $5.43B
Revenue surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +17.2% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +17.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +20.4% Up to 20 sessions
THCSPY benchmark

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What changed

Management raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance by 6% to $4.83-$5.03 billion. USPI adjusted EBITDA increased to $542 million, while exchange revenue declined 17%; management highlighted supplemental Medicaid revenue, higher-acuity pricing and cost-efficiency initiatives as offsets.

Guidance delta

Raised: full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance increased by 6% to $4.83-$5.03 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 results exceeded expectations, with $5.6 billion of net operating revenue and $1.304 billion of adjusted EBITDA.
  • USPI contributed $542 million of adjusted EBITDA and management expects more than $300 million of ambulatory surgical acquisitions in 2026.
  • Exchange revenue declined 17%, but management cited Medicaid supplemental payments and higher-acuity pricing as offsets.
  • The board authorized an additional $2 billion for repurchases; total buy-backs reached $1.36 billion in the first half.

Management priorities

  • Expand USPI through acquisitions and physician partnerships.
  • Invest in higher-acuity hospital and ASC services, including trauma, NICU and specialty surgery.
  • Extend automation and AI across facility operations and the global business center while pursuing cost efficiency.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
THC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.90 Q2 '24 actual $2.31, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.33 Q3 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.87 Q2 '25 actual $4.02, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.34 Q3 '25 actual $3.70, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.07 Q4 '25 actual $4.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.26 Q1 '26 actual $6.12, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.26 Q2 '26 actual $6.12, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.68 Q3 '26 actual $6.64, beat Q4 '26 estimate $5.45 Q1 '27 estimate $4.71 Q2 '27 estimate $5.44 Q3 '27 estimate $5.15
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy32 ratings
Bullish2681.3%
Neutral618.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$273.25Current
$47Low
$218.95Average
$308High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 28, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 24, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 4, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainFeb 12, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 13, 2025
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 29, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 28, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 5, 2025
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 25, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJun 28, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 2, 2023
SVB Leerink Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 25, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainMay 21, 2020
Mizuho Securities Buy BuyMaintainNov 6, 2019
Leerink Swann Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 21, 2017
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 9, 2016
Susquehanna Positive NeutralUpgradeApr 13, 2016
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeMar 5, 2015
CRT Capital Buy HoldUpgradeMar 8, 2013
Imperial Capital Outperform In LineUpgradeJan 3, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $273.25. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJason Cassorla$306$270.57 +12.0%Oct 30, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$307$275.13 +12.4%Oct 16, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$265$262.06 -3.0%Sep 22, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$285$267.27 +4.3%Aug 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$290$262.13 +6.1%Aug 10, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$281$254.78 +2.8%Aug 3, 2026
Goldman SachsScott Fidel$305$262.63 +11.6%Jul 28, 2026
Truist FinancialDavid MacDonald$290$243.36 +6.1%Jul 28, 2026
Robert W. BairdMichael Ha$280$243.36 +2.5%Jul 28, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$285$245.35 +4.3%Jul 27, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$308$245.61 +12.7%Jul 27, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$308$246.84 +12.7%Jul 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$274$243.89 +0.3%Jul 27, 2026
Raymond JamesSarah James$270$244.44 -1.2%Jul 27, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$283$233.2 +3.6%Jul 27, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$271$199.02 -0.8%Jul 24, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$242$194.91 -11.4%Jul 20, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$231$204.25 -15.5%Jul 13, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$210$185.35 -23.1%May 5, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Mok$238$185.35 -12.9%May 5, 2026
StephensScott Fidel$260$183.27 -4.8%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$254$183.95 -7.0%May 1, 2026
GuggenheimJason Cassorla$283$234.58 +3.6%Mar 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$270$232.06 -1.2%Feb 17, 2026
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$265$231.1 -3.0%Feb 16, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$271$232.26 -0.8%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Mok$257$232.26 -5.9%Feb 13, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$288$233.5 +5.4%Feb 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$260$228.75 -4.8%Feb 12, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$277$226.35 +1.4%Feb 12, 2026
KeyBancMatthew Gillmor$250$226.35 -8.5%Feb 12, 2026
RBC CapitalBen Hendrix$253$194.98 -7.4%Feb 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$229$208.24 -16.2%Jan 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyCraig Hettenbach$247$195.02 -9.6%Dec 18, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$257$215.13 -5.9%Dec 2, 2025
BarclaysAndrew Mok$240$186.68 -12.2%Nov 21, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$240$200.74 -12.2%Nov 3, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$252$212.48 -7.8%Oct 30, 2025
Raymond JamesSarah James$245$208.72 -10.3%Oct 29, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$208.72 -4.8%Oct 29, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$232$207.78 -15.1%Oct 29, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$238$204.62 -12.9%Oct 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$225$199.13 -17.7%Oct 17, 2025
Truist FinancialDavid MacDonald$225$192.65 -17.7%Oct 14, 2025
Goldman SachsScott Fidel$224$190 -18.0%Oct 14, 2025
KeyBancMatthew Gillmor$225$204.83 -17.7%Oct 8, 2025
Wells FargoStephen Baxter$238$199.76 -12.9%Oct 7, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$229$186.12 -16.2%Sep 18, 2025
Truist FinancialDavid MacDonald$205$172.27 -25.0%Jul 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$165$133.04 -39.6%Mar 26, 2025
KeyBancMatthew Gillmor$185$128.8 -32.3%Jan 7, 2025
Goldman SachsJamie Perse$140$139.1 -48.8%Dec 16, 2024
Wolfe ResearchJustin Lake$178$156.2 -34.9%Oct 29, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$170$151.63 -37.8%Jul 26, 2024
Truist FinancialDavid MacDonald$170$147.68 -37.8%Jul 25, 2024
Truist FinancialDavid MacDonald$155$132.11 -43.3%Jul 15, 2024
BarclaysAndrew Mok$156$130.97 -42.9%Jul 10, 2024
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$155$138.3 -43.3%Jun 28, 2024
Goldman SachsJamie Perse$156$136.4 -42.9%Jun 10, 2024
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$150$131.55 -45.1%May 30, 2024
Robert W. BairdMichael Ha$153$131.55 -44.0%May 29, 2024
BarclaysAndrew Mok$147$115.95 -46.2%May 2, 2024
StephensScott Fidel$122$112.29 -55.4%May 1, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$130$115.46 -52.4%May 1, 2024
RBC CapitalBen Hendrix$136$115.11 -50.2%May 1, 2024
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$126$101.82 -53.9%Apr 12, 2024
Wolfe ResearchJustin Lake$122$102.32 -55.4%Mar 27, 2024
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$59$48.98 -78.4%Jan 3, 2023
UBSAndrew Mok CFA$47$39.01 -82.8%Oct 24, 2022
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$93$61.39 -66.0%Aug 24, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnn Hynes$80$64.96 -70.7%Aug 16, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$91$64.21 -66.7%Jul 28, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$67.5$31.37 -75.3%Jul 26, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$99$62.18 -63.8%Jul 25, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$80$62.99 -70.7%Jul 25, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$99$64.86 -63.8%Jul 25, 2022
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$88$63.12 -67.8%Jul 25, 2022
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$68$53.43 -75.1%Jul 15, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$93$54.15 -66.0%Jul 12, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$55$27.57 -79.9%Jul 11, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$90$53.33 -67.1%Jul 7, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$63$52.56 -76.9%Jul 1, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$90$75.29 -67.1%Apr 25, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$110$76.38 -59.7%Apr 22, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$110$74.85 -59.7%Apr 22, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$104$79.78 -61.9%Apr 22, 2022
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$110$79.88 -59.7%Apr 22, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$104$86.67 -61.9%Apr 22, 2022
RBC CapitalBen Hendrix$89$82.22 -67.4%Feb 9, 2022
Leerink PartnersWhit Mayo$100$82.22 -63.4%Feb 9, 2022
Deutsche BankPito Chickering$100$74.07 -63.4%Feb 8, 2022
Raymond JamesJohn Ransom$120$78.42 -56.1%Jan 20, 2022
CitigroupJason Cassorla$96$74.55 -64.9%Jan 10, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesKevin Fischbeck$100$74.88 -63.4%Jan 7, 2022
Wolfe ResearchJustin Lake$70$68.58 -74.4%Jun 21, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a broad-ranging provider of health solutions. The company organizes its operations across three main divisions: Hospital Operations and Other, Ambulatory Care, and Conifer. Within its network of acute care facilities, Tenet delivers a full spectrum of essential services. These include core hospital functions such as operating and recovery suites, radiology and respiratory therapy, clinical laboratories, and on-site pharmacies. The organization also provides high-acuity patient care through intensive, critical, and coronary care units. Specialized medical services cover areas like cardiovascular, digestive disease, neurosciences, musculoskeletal, and obstetrics, alongside various outpatient treatments, including physical therapy. Advanced surgical capabilities feature cardiothoracic, complex spinal, and neurosurgery, as well as neonatal intensive care.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-24T18:07:00.952540+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-27T01:23:15.563132+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T20:10:41.516966+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T20:10:41.514178+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.