Target Corporation · TGT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Target raises outlook as traffic and digital growth accelerate

Target's Q2 results provide support for a constructive growth case: traffic, digital activity and refreshed categories improved while management raised guidance. The case remains dependent on execution in home and apparel, inventory reliability and tariff management.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $71.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.11 Consensus $2.35
EPS surprise +74.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $26.54B Consensus $26.13B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.3% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.5% Up to 20 sessions
TGTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, sales growth accelerated from 6.7% to 5.3% on a reported basis? No—this comparison is not like-for-like because the supplied prior-quarter analysis refers to Q1 and the current analysis refers to Q2. The clearer change is that management continued the refreshed-assortment strategy while adding AI partnerships, a Chief AI Officer and a higher full-year outlook.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year expectations to approximately 5% sales growth and EPS of $9.90-$10.90, excluding tariff refunds.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales grew 5.3%, with traffic up 3.6% and strong digital growth.
  • Food, Fun101, Beauty and exclusive collaborations were highlighted as growth areas.
  • AI partnerships and a new Chief AI Officer expand the company's personalization and agentic-commerce efforts.

Management priorities

  • Execute category resets and improve home and apparel performance.
  • Roll out Target Beauty Studio to more than 600 stores.
  • Continue store remodels, new-store openings and AI-enabled personalization.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TGT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $29B Q3 '24 actual $25B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $32B Q4 '24 actual $32B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $25B Q1 '25 actual $25B, match Q2 '25 estimate $25B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $25B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q3 '26 actual $25B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $30B Q4 '26 actual $30B, match Q1 '27 estimate $25B Q1 '27 actual $25B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $26B Q2 '27 actual $27B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $26B Q4 '27 estimate $31B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold58 ratings
Bullish2746.6%
Neutral2746.5%
Bearish46.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$158.19Previous close
$80Low
$166.27Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 54 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $158.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$150$159.14 -5.2%Aug 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$178$159.68 +12.5%Aug 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$167$158.81 +5.6%Aug 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$170$159.03 +7.5%Aug 20, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$142$159.03 -10.2%Aug 20, 2026
See 206 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Target Corp. engages in the operation and ownership of general merchandise stores. It offers food and general merchandise, clothing and household goods, electronics, and toys. Its brands include A New Day, All in Motion, Art Class, Auden, AVA & VIV, Boots and Barkley, Brightroom, Bullseye's Playground, Casaluna, Cat & Jack, Cloud Island, Colsie, dealworthy, Embark, Everspring, Favorite Day, Figmint, Future Collective, Gigglescape, Good & Gather, Goodfellow & Co, Hearth & Hand with Magnolia, Heyday, Hyde & EEK! Boutique, JoyLab, Kindfull, Kona Sol, Made By Design, Market Pantry, Mondo Llama, More Than Magic, Opalhouse, Open Story, Original Use, Pillowfort, Project 62, Room Essentials, Shade & Shore, Smartly, Smith & Hawken, Sonia Kashuk, Spritz, Sun Squad, Threshold, Universal Thread, up&up, Wild Fable, Wondershop, Xhilaration, California Roots, Casa Cantina, The Collection, Headliner, Jingle & Mingle, Rosé Bae, Photograph, SunPop, and Wine Cube. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-20T16:19:56.478733+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T11:10:53.192584+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T11:10:53.189876+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.