Target Corporation · TGT · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Target’s Q2: Traffic Growth and Higher Full-Year EPS Guidance

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view: traffic growth, digital fulfillment, and margin expansion strengthened the trajectory, while the next test is whether these gains persist as Target invests in price, capacity, and discretionary categories.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $69.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.57 Consensus $2.18
EPS surprise +17.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $25.45B Consensus $25.19B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +10.3% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +10.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 6.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.7% Up to 20 sessions
TGTSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Target reported stronger traffic-led comparable sales, continued margin expansion, and a higher full-year EPS outlook. Management also emphasized expanded fulfillment capacity, AI tools, Target Circle 360, and new product launches.

Guidance delta

Q3 comparable-sales guidance was maintained at 0% to 2%; full-year EPS guidance was raised to $9.00-$9.70 from the prior quarter's $8.60-$9.60 range.

Key takeaways

  • Comparable sales grew 2% in Q2, with traffic identified as the driver; EPS rose 42% year over year to $2.57.
  • Digital fulfillment services, including Drive Up and Target Circle 360, generated more than $2 billion in Q2 sales.
  • Operating margin expanded to 6.4% and gross margin reached 28.9%, while full-year EPS guidance increased to $9.00-$9.70.

Management priorities

  • Expand fulfillment capacity through the 11th sortation center and additional Chicago capacity.
  • Roll out more AI tools for store associates, including GenAI on store handheld devices.
  • Build Target Circle 360 and refresh owned-brand and seasonal product assortments.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TGT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $32B Q4 '24 actual $32B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $25B Q1 '25 actual $25B, match Q2 '25 estimate $25B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $25B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q3 '26 actual $25B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $30B Q4 '26 actual $30B, match Q1 '27 estimate $25B Q1 '27 actual $25B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $26B Q2 '27 actual $27B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $26B Q4 '27 estimate $31B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold58 ratings
Bullish2746.6%
Neutral2746.5%
Bearish46.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$152.76Current
$80Low
$166.54Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 13, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeSep 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 54 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $152.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$165$152.76 +8.0%Oct 13, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$190$156.45 +24.4%Sep 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$150$159.14 -1.8%Aug 20, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$178$159.68 +16.5%Aug 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$167$158.81 +9.3%Aug 20, 2026
See 208 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Target Corp. engages in the operation and ownership of general merchandise stores. It offers food and general merchandise, clothing and household goods, electronics, and toys. Its brands include A New Day, All in Motion, Art Class, Auden, AVA & VIV, Boots and Barkley, Brightroom, Bullseye's Playground, Casaluna, Cat & Jack, Cloud Island, Colsie, dealworthy, Embark, Everspring, Favorite Day, Figmint, Future Collective, Gigglescape, Good & Gather, Goodfellow & Co, Hearth & Hand with Magnolia, Heyday, Hyde & EEK! Boutique, JoyLab, Kindfull, Kona Sol, Made By Design, Market Pantry, Mondo Llama, More Than Magic, Opalhouse, Open Story, Original Use, Pillowfort, Project 62, Room Essentials, Shade & Shore, Smartly, Smith & Hawken, Sonia Kashuk, Spritz, Sun Squad, Threshold, Universal Thread, up&up, Wild Fable, Wondershop, Xhilaration, California Roots, Casa Cantina, The Collection, Headliner, Jingle & Mingle, Rosé Bae, Photograph, SunPop, and Wine Cube. The company was founded by George Draper Dayton in 1902 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

Historical context

All TGT earnings

Consumer Defensive peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T12:30:42.831984+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T12:30:42.829084+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.