Teradyne, Inc. · TER · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Teradyne: AI Demand Drives Record Q4 Revenue and New Long-Term Target

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: AI-led semiconductor-test demand is broadening across compute, memory, networking, and edge AI, while robotics is improving. The one-year case still depends on sustained AI investment, execution on new products and the MultiLane venture, and whether concentrated, lumpy demand translates into durable share gains.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $62.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.80 Consensus $1.38
EPS surprise +30.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.08B Consensus $977.2M
Revenue surprise +10.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +13.4% Event window
SPY move -0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +14.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
TERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, Teradyne reported a record Q4, described AI as more than 60% of quarterly revenue, introduced a $6 billion revenue target framework, and highlighted the MultiLane joint venture. Robotics also moved closer to breakeven, while demand concentration and second-half visibility remained concerns.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance stance; the supplied analysis does not identify a new quantitative guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 revenue reached a quarterly record, with AI-related demand the primary growth engine.
  • Management said AI represented more than 60% of Q4 revenue and expected it to exceed 70% in Q1 2026.
  • The MultiLane joint venture expands Teradyne's data-center test capabilities.
  • Robotics was described as moving toward breakeven, with a large e-commerce customer expected to triple revenue in 2026.
  • Management introduced an evergreen model targeting $6 billion of revenue at a $12 billion-$14 billion ATE TAM.

Management priorities

  • Continue gaining share in compute, memory, and networking test.
  • Close and integrate the MultiLane joint venture in the first half of 2026.
  • Ramp new HDD, compute SLT, and IST customers.
  • Advance robotics AI capabilities and expand e-commerce deployments.
  • Use buybacks and maintain cash for opportunistic M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TER REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $675M Q4 '23 actual $671M, miss Q1 '24 estimate $566M Q1 '24 actual $598M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $701M Q2 '24 actual $730M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $737M Q3 '24 actual $737M, match Q2 '25 estimate $651M Q2 '25 actual $652M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $744M Q3 '25 actual $769M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $977M Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1864.3%
Neutral1035.7%
Bearish00.0%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$403.02Current
$116Low
$270.42Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeAug 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 30, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $403.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$397$361.79 -1.5%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdQuinn Fredrickson$420$359.71 +4.2%Jul 30, 2026
Evercore ISIVedvati Shrotre$420$357.42 +4.2%Jul 30, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$465$320.65 +15.4%Jul 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$500$340.06 +24.1%Jul 20, 2026
See 75 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Teradyne, Inc., established in 1960 and headquartered in North Reading, Massachusetts, is a global leader specializing in the creation, production, sale, and maintenance of automated testing solutions. The company's operations are categorized into four principal divisions: 1. Semiconductor Test: This segment delivers solutions for testing microchips at both the wafer and finished device package stages. These capabilities serve a wide array of sectors, including automotive, industrial, telecommunications, consumer electronics, mobile devices, cloud computing, and gaming. Notable offerings include the FLEX test platform, the J750 system for high-volume semiconductor testing, the Magnum platform specialized for memory components like flash and DRAM, and the ETS platform, which caters to the analog/mixed-signal markets for chip makers and outsourced assembly/test providers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T23:26:15.217423+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T23:26:15.215008+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.