TE Connectivity plc · TEL · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2025

TE Connectivity enters FY26 with AI and connectivity momentum

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional thesis: resilient AI, data-connectivity, energy, and automotive demand could sustain growth, provided TE Connectivity converts investment into capacity and manages margin and order-flow risks.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $63.48B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.44 Consensus $2.29
EPS surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.58B Consensus $4.58B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.7% Up to 20 sessions
TELSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shifts the focus from the prior quarter’s record momentum and planned investment toward execution: sustaining 20%+ margins, scaling AI and high-speed connectivity, funding further acquisitions, and monitoring order visibility as book-to-bill approaches 1.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance stance, with the analysis indicating continued FY26 Q1 momentum.

Key takeaways

  • Management’s analysis points to AI interconnects, Digital Data Networks, energy infrastructure, and automotive connectivity as the main growth engines.
  • The company is prioritizing localized manufacturing, bolt-on acquisitions, and expanded high-speed connectivity and energy products.
  • The central debate is whether strong AI-led growth can coexist with sustained margins and durable order flow.
  • The analysis supports the case for continued demand, but highlights dependence on data-center investment and uneven automotive conditions.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI, high-speed interconnect, and energy-grid product portfolios.
  • Invest in manufacturing localization for regional customer demand.
  • Pursue additional bolt-on acquisitions.
  • Use the upcoming Investor Day to showcase products and strategic initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TEL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1.83 Q2 '24 actual $1.86, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.86 Q3 '24 actual $1.91, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.94 Q4 '24 actual $1.95, match Q3 '25 estimate $2.08 Q3 '25 actual $2.27, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.29 Q4 '25 actual $2.44, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.55 Q1 '26 actual $2.72, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.69 Q2 '26 actual $2.73, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q3 '26 actual $2.94, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.07 Q1 '27 estimate $3.01 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12 Q3 '27 estimate $3.37
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish1448.3%
Neutral1551.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$218.93Previous close
$123Low
$210.44Average
$300High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeJun 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 15, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeApr 23, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 14, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainNov 17, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 30, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2025
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJan 25, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 20, 2023
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 9, 2023
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJan 26, 2023
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJun 30, 2022
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 10, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2020
Citi Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 9, 2019
Cross Research Hold BuyDowngradeJul 16, 2019
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeJun 17, 2019
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainMar 2, 2016
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 23, 2015
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 11, 2014
Macquarie Outperform NeutralUpgradeMay 16, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $218.93. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$288$218.93 +31.5%Oct 6, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$243$213.48 +11.0%Sep 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$220$204.63 +0.5%Sep 11, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$241$198.43 +10.1%Jul 23, 2026
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$225$200.94 +2.8%Jul 23, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$230$217.64 +5.1%Jun 22, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$300$210.38 +37.0%Jun 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$261$218 +19.2%Apr 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$226$221.01 +3.2%Apr 23, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$234$221.01 +6.9%Apr 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$286$221.01 +30.6%Apr 22, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$270$234.33 +23.3%Apr 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$272$234.33 +24.2%Apr 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$285$231.68 +30.2%Feb 13, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$270$225.49 +23.3%Jan 27, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$302$231.35 +37.9%Jan 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$244$231 +11.5%Jan 22, 2026
Wells FargoColin Langan$249$231 +13.7%Jan 22, 2026
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$306$231 +39.8%Jan 21, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$304$237.3 +38.9%Jan 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$283$237.22 +29.3%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$240$225.97 +9.6%Dec 19, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$239$214.49 +9.2%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$297$214.49 +35.7%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$277$246.87 +26.5%Nov 4, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$255$244.56 +16.5%Oct 30, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$280$246.76 +27.9%Oct 30, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$238$222.46 +8.7%Oct 10, 2025
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$249$222.07 +13.7%Oct 7, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$260$223.54 +18.8%Oct 6, 2025
Goldman SachsMark Delaney$263$217.04 +20.1%Sep 29, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$222$205.98 +1.4%Sep 3, 2025
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$232$205.29 +6.0%Sep 3, 2025
Truist FinancialWilliam Stein$165$149.95 -24.6%Dec 16, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$137$151.79 -37.4%Oct 31, 2024
CitigroupAsiya Merchant$160$154.53 -26.9%Jul 25, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$162$151.4 -26.0%Jul 24, 2024
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$175$150 -20.1%May 24, 2024
Robert W. BairdDavid Leiker$165$151.69 -24.6%May 21, 2024
Robert W. BairdLuke Junk$158$140 -27.8%Apr 25, 2024
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$150$140 -31.5%Apr 24, 2024
JefferiesSaree Boroditsky$180$144.78 -17.8%Apr 9, 2024
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$123$123.88 -43.8%Dec 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$140$127.79 -36.1%Jun 10, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$158$124.56 -27.8%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$151$123.3 -31.0%Apr 25, 2022
Evercore ISIAmit Daryanani$183$143.48 -16.4%Feb 20, 2022
CitigroupJim Suva$155$140.42 -29.2%Jan 30, 2022
Stifel NicolausMatthew Sheerin$170$160.8 -22.3%Dec 31, 2021
Wolfe ResearchRod Lache$190$160.04 -13.2%Nov 9, 2021
UBSChristopher Snyder$175$144.26 -20.1%Oct 28, 2021
Cowen & Co.Joseph C Giordano$160$149.2 -26.9%Aug 23, 2021
OppenheimerChristopher Glynn$155$146.04 -29.2%Jul 30, 2021
Benchmark Co.David Williams$145$132.91 -33.8%Apr 23, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

TE Connectivity plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells connectivity and sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia–Pacific, and the Americas. The company operates through two reportable segments, Transportation Solutions and Industrial Solutions. It provides antennas, application tooling, cable assemblies, connectors, electromagnetic compatibility/electromagnetic interference solutions, energy and power, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, identification and labeling, medical components, passive components, relays and contactors, sensors, switches, terminals and splices, wires and cables, and wire protection and management solutions.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T07:00:42.136864+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T07:00:42.134054+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.