Teck Resources Limited · TECK · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Teck's Q1 strength supports merger and project execution, but risks remain

Teck's Q1 execution and copper exposure strengthened the near-term operating case, while merger, project, regulatory and commodity risks keep the outlook conditional.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $29.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.20 Consensus $0.80
EPS surprise +49.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.83B Consensus $2.32B
Revenue surprise +21.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.7% Up to 20 sessions
TECKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 adjusted EBITDA more than doubled year over year to $2.1 billion, supported by record copper sales and higher commodity prices. Rock Bench 4 was completed at QB, Highland Valley work advanced, South Korea approved the merger, and China's review continued.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026–2028 guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Record copper volumes, higher margins and stronger commodity prices drove a much stronger Q1.
  • The Anglo American merger remained on track, with South Korean approval secured and China's review progressing.
  • QB tailings-management work and the Highland Valley life-extension project advanced on schedule.
  • Strong cash generation and liquidity supported continued dividend payments.

Management priorities

  • Close the Anglo-Teck merger and progress remaining regulatory review.
  • Complete Rock Bench 5 and reach steady-state QB tailings-management operations by year-end.
  • Advance Highland Valley life-extension construction and procurement.
  • Continue evaluating a potential Collahuasi joint venture.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TECK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.51 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.36 Q3 '24 actual $0.44, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.18 Q2 '25 actual $0.27, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.39 Q3 '25 actual $0.55, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.66 Q4 '25 actual $0.98, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.80 Q1 '26 actual $1.20, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.95 Q2 '26 actual $1.39, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.00 Q3 '26 actual $1.34, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '27 estimate $1.43 Q2 '27 estimate $1.36 Q3 '27 estimate $1.24
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1970.4%
Neutral622.2%
Bearish27.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60.61Current
$27Low
$44.98Average
$68High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 30, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainFeb 23, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 25, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 15, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 10, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 22, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 8, 2024
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 4, 2024
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 12, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeNov 10, 2023
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 26, 2023
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 28, 2022
Goldman Sachs Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 9, 2022
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 29, 2021
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeNov 13, 2019
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 11, 2019
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainApr 24, 2019
Clarksons Platou Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 16, 2019
Clarkson Capital Markets Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 16, 2019
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2018
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 10, 2018
Axiom Capital Sell SellMaintainSep 18, 2017
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeMar 22, 2017
FBR Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 23, 2017
Canaccord Genuity Buy HoldUpgradeDec 12, 2016
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $60.61. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$68$60.64 +12.2%Jul 2, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$62$59.03 +2.3%Apr 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$67$58.77 +10.5%Feb 23, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$46$42.2 -24.1%Nov 26, 2025
Deutsche BankLiam Fitzpatrick$42$35.11 -30.7%Sep 8, 2025
TD SecuritiesGreg Barnes$55.7$38.74 -8.1%Mar 7, 2022
CIBCBryce Adams$39.79$36.47 -34.4%Mar 1, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesLawson Winder$51.72$35.53 -14.7%Feb 28, 2022
CitigroupAlexander Hacking$41.38$35.53 -31.7%Feb 28, 2022
BarclaysMatt Murphy$31.83$34.43 -47.5%Feb 24, 2022
RBC CapitalSam Crittenden$41.38$34.43 -31.7%Feb 24, 2022
Canaccord GenuityDalton Baretto$37.4$30.51 -38.3%Jan 31, 2022
Wolfe ResearchTimna Tanners$36.6$26.8 -39.6%Nov 16, 2021
Benchmark Co.Nathan Martin$27$22.28 -55.5%Jul 28, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in Vancouver, Canada, in 1913, Teck Resources Limited is dedicated to the exploration, acquisition, development, and extraction of natural resources across Asia, Europe, and North America. The company organizes its operations into Steelmaking Coal, Copper, Zinc, Energy, and Corporate segments. Its diverse product offerings include steelmaking coal, copper, gold, blended bitumen, lead, silver, molybdenum, zinc, and zinc concentrates. Teck also produces specialized metals like indium and germanium, in addition to various chemicals and fertilizers. Furthermore, the company holds an interest in the Frontier oil sands projects located in Alberta's Athabasca region, and maintains stakes in exploration and development ventures spanning Australia, Chile, Ireland, Mexico, Peru, Turkey, and the United States. Formerly operating as Teck Cominco Limited, the company officially adopted the name Teck Resources Limited in April 2009.

Historical context

All TECK earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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VALE Vale S.A. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 -24.6% +1.9% Vale balances cost resilience with iron-ore and copper execution risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T18:50:41.004328+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T18:50:41.001433+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.